Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Eurozone Publications

Below is a list of our Eurozone Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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28 July 2021 A Sneak-Peek at the Likely Pace of EZ GDP growth in H1 2022

Robust M1 growth points to solid GDP growth in the Eurozone, once the dust settles from reopening. Loan growth is slowing, but that's mainly due to base effects; the underlying...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)28th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

27 July 2021 What to Expect from the Barrage of EZ Economic Data this Week

We look for Q2 GDP growth in the EZ at 1.5% quarter-on-quarter, the same as the consensus. This week's EZ inflation reports for July are a banana-skin for forecasters; don't...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)27th Jul 2021 00:20Eurozone

EZ Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, July 2021

In one line: A new, and more dovish, forward guidance.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)22nd Jul 2021 15:26Eurozone

22 July 2021 All Change at the ECB Today as It Presents Its New Inflation Target

Today's ECB meeting was supposed to be a snoozer, in which the council goes on holiday with the message that it will hold off making any major decisions on the pace of...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)22nd Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

16 July 2021 Supply Constraints & Reopening Boost Italian & Spanish inflation

Earlier this week we delved into German and French inflation data, looking for signs of supply-side price pressures in goods prices, and a reopening bump in Covid-sensitive...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)16th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

14 July 2021 On the Hunt for Supply Pressures, and Reopening in the EZ CPI Data

Yesterday's detailed inflation data in Germany and France were similar, at least as far as the main story goes.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)14th Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

12 July 2021 Taking Stock of Italy's Economy in Q2; It's Good News

We last set our outlook for the Italian economy at the end of May--see here--and in this Monitor, we take stock of what has changed since. In preview; it's good news.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)12th Jul 2021 00:20Eurozone

1 July 2021 All Aboard for a Wild Ride in the Second Half EZ Inflation Numbers

Yesterday's advance CPI data in the Eurozone broadly confirmed our expectations.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)1st Jul 2021 00:10Eurozone

30 June 2021 Eurozone Headline Inflation Fell only Marginally in June

Data yesterday revealed that inflation in Germany eased slightly at the end of Q2.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)30th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

29 June 2021 Who's Afraid of the Taper? Not Many it Seems, for Now

From an immunological perspective, variant risk is assessed on a spectrum--no variant is either completely resistant or susceptible to the vaccines--but for markets it is...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)29th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

21 June 2021 Did the EZ Trade Surplus Really Fall at the Start of Q2

The Eurozone's external surplus rebounded at the start of Q2.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)21st Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

EZ Datanote: SNB Rate Decision, Q2 2021

In one line: Another non-event; interest rates to stay on hold until at least 2024.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)17th Jun 2021 15:57Eurozone

17 June 2021 Expect a Quiet SNB Meeting, but Higher CHF Sales Needed Soon

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) will keep its powder dry today and leave its policy rate at -0.75%, a number we recommend investors get used to.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)17th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

16 June 2021 Ignore the April Plunge in the EZ Trade Surplus; a Rebound Beckons

Yesterday's euro area trade data from Eurostat were alarmingly poor.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)16th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

14 June 2021 We're Betting on a Further Fall in EZ Unemployment in H2

In any given quarter, the change in the unemployment rate can be derived by the difference between the change in employment and the change in the size of the labour force as a...

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)14th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

11 June 2021 If the ECB's New Forecasts are Right, PEPP will be Axed in Q4

The ECB conformed to our expectations yesterday, guiding markets towards unchanged and ample accommodation through Q3.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)11th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

EZ Datanote: ECB Rate Decision, June 2021

In one line: PEPP set for €20B per week/€80B per month through Q3.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)10th Jun 2021 16:11Eurozone

9 June 2021 Consumers will have to Step up to Deliver a Solid Q2 in the Eurozone

Data yesterday showed that the euro area economy did better than initially estimated at the start of the year, contrary to our expectations, though the main story didn't change.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)9th Jun 2021 00:10Eurozone

8 June 2021 German Manufacturing was Soft in April; Spain was Much Better

Yesterday's main economic reports point to mixed conditions in euro area manufacturing at the start of Q2.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)8th Jun 2021 00:20Eurozone

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