Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Eurozone Publications

Below is a list of our Eurozone Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

consumer goods

EZ Datanote: ISTAT Business Confidence, Italy, November

In one line: Green shoots are showing; retail confidence is on a tear.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

23 Nov 2022 Eurozone Monitor The EZ Current Account Deficit will Continue to Narrow, For Now

  • Services exports have held back the EZ services balance since June, despite the summer tourist season.
  • Risk aversion means EZ investors again dumped foreign assets in September; this will continue.
  • The rise in prices of durable goods items, which is partly driving core inflation higher, is broad-based.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

18 Nov 2022 Eurozone Monitor Core Inflation Likely is now Falling, but the Downshift will be Slow

  • EZ core goods inflation will rise a bit further in the near term, but services inflation should now ease.
  • The reversal in margin pressure points to a sustained fall in EZ core inflation, but it will take a long time.
  • We think core inflation will stay above 3% through the first half of 2023, maintaining pressure on the ECB.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Final Inflation, Germany, October 2022

In one line: Energy remains the key driver, but the core looks “uncomfortably high” too.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

28 Oct 2022 Eurozone Monitor The ECB Policy Pivot is On, But it Will be a Small One, at First

  • The ECB lifts its deposit and refinancing rates by 75bp, hinting at a smaller hike in December.
  • The retrospective change in TLTRO III conditions is a bad look for the ECB, but it likely was necessary.
  • The slide in consumer confidence has ended; but don’t expect a sustained recovery until after winter.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, November

In one line: Slide in sentiment stops, but consumers are still tightening their belts. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: State CPIs, Germany, September

In one line: German inflation jumped above 10% in September.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

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Keywords for: Eurozone Documents

Eurozone Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence