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Weakness in the core remained a drag on euro area manufacturing midway through Q2, amid strength elsewhere.
In any given quarter, the change in the unemployment rate can be derived by the difference between the change in employment and the change in the size of the labour force as a share of the total population.
Friday's data in the core EZ economies confirmed our suspicion that the reality in manufacturing at the start of the year was not as rosy as implied by the headline surveys and new orders data.
Friday's advance GDP data in the euro area largely conformed to our expectations.
Judging by Friday's advance PMIs for April, new virus restrictions had minimal impact on EZ economic activity at the start of the second quarter. The composite PMI
in the euro area increased slightly, to 53.7 from 53.2 in March, lifted by a further gain in the manufacturing index, 63.3 from 62.5 last month, and a continued rebound in the services PMI, to 50.3 from 49.6 in March.
Friday's detailed CPI data in Germany conformed to expectations. Headline inflation rose to 1.3% year-over- year in February, from 1.0% in January, matching the early estimate.
In one line: Solid, consistent with another strong quarter in manufacturing.
In one line: Solid, lifted by all components except transport equipment.
In one line: Very robust, but imports likely will rebound in the next few months.
The upturn in German manufacturing orders resumed at the start of the year. Factory orders edged higher,
by 1.4% month-to-month in January, partially reversing the 2.2% decline in December.
We are sympathetic if euro area fixed income investors are slightly confused about the ECB's intentions.
In one line: Ugly; goods spending set for a sharp drop in Q1.
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