EZ Datanote: Industrial Production & Trade, Germany, July 2025

In one line: Solid production numbers, but net trade in goods remain under pressure.

EZ Datanote: Detailed GDP, Eurozone, Q2 2025

In one line: Growth slows as tariff front-running disappears.

EZ Datanote: Factory Orders, Germany, July 2025

In one line: As we expected, but where was the Airbus-driven upward revision?

EZ Datanote: Construction PMI, Eurozone, August 2025

In one line: Better; inflation pressures remain strong despite subdued activity.

EZ Datanote: Inflation, Switzerland, August 2025

In one line: SNB cut this month still on, just.

5 September 2025 Eurozone Monitor Swiss inflation details are dovish; SNB rate cut to -0.25% still on

• Swiss inflation held steady at first glance, but the details are dovish. 
• Leading indicators point to a gradual fall in inflation out to year-end, in contrast to the SNB’s forecasts. 
• It’s a close call, but we think the risks to the outlook tip the balance towards a final rate cut this month.

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Eurozone, August 2025

In one line: The end of September rate cut hopes. 

4 September 2025 Eurozone Monitor We're turning bullish on Italy; GDP will rebound in H2

• The fall in Italian GDP in Q2 was confirmed; net trade fell but investment remained resilient
• We now expect Italian GDP to rise in Q3 and Q4, though this still means just 0.6% growth this year.
• The government in France will fall on Monday, but look closely and public finances are now improving. 

2 September 2025 Eurozone Monitor EZ unemployment rate still pinned at a record low

• The number of people out of work dropped by the most in over three years in July… 
• ...As a result, the EZ unemployment rate fell to 6.2% in July and is likely to have held steady in August. 
• Labour-market data provide little ammunition for ECB doves in their fight for another rate cut.

EZ Datanote: Unemployment, Eurozone, July 2025

In one line: Down to a record low. 

EZ Datanote: Retail Sales, Germany, July 2025

In one line: Hinting at a fall in Q3. 

EZ Datanote: ESI, Eurozone, August 2025

In one line: Unwelcome rise in services selling price expectations.

EZ Datanote: EZ Money Supply & ISTAT, Jul/Aug 2025

In one line: Steady, and solid, growth in EZ money supply.

EZ Datanote: Detailed GDP, Switzerland, Q2

In one line: Stung by crash in net trade. 

EZ Datanote: GfK Consumer Confidence, Germany, September

In one line: Not pretty.

EZ Datanote: INSEE Consumer Confidence, France, August 2025

In one line: Grim, and little scope for near-term improvement.

EZ Datanote: INSEE Business Confidence, France, August 2025

In one line: Still pointing to downside risks. 

EZ Datanote: Detailed GDP, Germany, Q2 2025

In one line: Germany fared worse than initially expected in Q2.  

EZ Datanote: Advance Consumer Confidence, Eurozone, August 2025

In one line: Down further below its long-run average. 

EZ Datanote: Construction, Eurozone, June 2025

In one line: Down again but up over Q2 still.