Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Below is a list of our Emerging Asia Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

consumer confidence

17 Oct 2022 Emerging Asia Monitor No Clear Signs of Flood-Related Damage in Thailand's Sep. Surveys

  • Thai industrial growth will collapse in September, but the ongoing floods have little to do with it.
  • The recovery in consumer confidence is unaffected, as it still signals a healthy floor for spending growth.
  • WPI inflation in India continues to slow sharply, thanks in large part to waning food price pressures.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

12 Sept 2022 Emerging Asia Monitor A Steady, if Uninspiring, Catch-Up in Indonesian Retail Sales Persists

  • Retail Sales momentum in Indonesia has ebbed recently, following this year's big Ramadam binge...
  • …An instant hit from the fuel price hike is no surety; 
    we’ll take our cues from the impact on confidence.
  • The misery in Philippine exports is set to continue, 
    even if demand from China recovers shortly

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

5 Sept 2022 Emerging Asia Monitor Thai Consumers aren't Immune to Inflation, but a Cushion is Forming

  • Base effects are flattering Thai consumption, but the inflation bite is coming, lasting well into 2023.
  • Food prices, the largest driver of the rise in inflation in Indonesia, appear finally to have turned a corner.
  • India’s urban unemployment rate fell further in Q2, to a series low, despite the economy’s soft patch.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

30 Aug 2022 Emerging Asia Monitor Base Effects Should Guarantee a 20%-Plus Q2 GDP Print in India

We expect India’s Q2 GDP report tomorrow to beat expectations, with growth surging to over 20%...
...The boost from Delta base effects will be strong, and consumers regained energy, post-Omicron.
The overall q/q profile will be soft, though, due to non-existent new investment and a bigger trade hit.

Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)Emerging Asia

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Emerging Asia Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence