Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

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15 Feb 2021 PM2.5 Concentrations Help to Fill the Data Hungry Gap

PM2.5 Concentrations Help to Fill the Data Hungry Gap

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)14th Feb 2021 18:10China+

9 Feb 2021 Japan's GDP Growth Likely Slowed in Q4, Before a Q1 Contraction

Japan's GDP Growth Likely Slowed in Q4, Before a Q1 Contraction

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)8th Feb 2021 18:10China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 18.1.21

Korea 7-dey repo rate, China home prices, Japan tertiary index

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)18th Jan 2021 07:39China+

13 Jan 2021 China's 2020 GDP Number Likely will see Significant Revisions

China's 2020 GDP Number Likely will see Significant Revisions

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)12th Jan 2021 18:00China+

24 Dec 2020 Is China Santa or the Grinch in the Global Inflation Outlook

China plays a pivotal role in the global inflation outlook.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)23rd Dec 2020 18:10China+

16 Dec 2020 China's Q4 Recovery has Wavered Only Slightly, Thanks to Consumers

Industrial production growth in China has peaked, notwithstanding the likely spike in Q1, when the base effects kick in from the Covid- induced shutdowns earlier this year.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)15th Dec 2020 16:20China+

ASIAN DATA WRAP 15th December 2020

The firmer monthly rise in Chinese production is questionable; Deepening retail price deflation in China masks punchy Singles' Day boost to sales; The catch-up in...

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)15th Dec 2020 03:29China+

14 Dec 2020 Where are the Potential Surprises in Asia at the Turn of the Year?

As we head into 2021, a number of potential surprises--both positive and negative--could throw our full-year forecasts for Asia out of whack early in the year.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)13th Dec 2020 18:10China+

ASIAN DATA WRAP 30th November 2020

Don't get carried away by China's strongest manufacturing PMI in three years; Chinese construction rejoined the party this month, but a return to yesteryear remains...

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)30th Nov 2020 01:30China+

20 Nov 2020 India's Q3 GDP Rebound will be a Very Hard Act to Follow

India's GDP report for the third quarter, due a week from today, is likely to show that the year- over-year downturn moderated significantly to -9%, from -24% in Q2.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)19th Nov 2020 18:10China+

18 Nov 2020 Industrial Production Growth in China has Peaked

Industrial production growth in China surprised to the upside in October, remaining stable at September's nine-month high of 6.9% year-over-year.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)17th Nov 2020 18:10China+

ASIAN DATA WRAP 16th November 2020

Japan will end the year on a much softer note; Ignore the headline, Chinese industry is clearly losing momentum

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)16th Nov 2020 06:05China+

16 Nov 2020 The Door Just Shut for a December RBI Cut, Easing Will Resume in Q1

CPI inflation in India rose unexpectedly in October to 7.6%, from 7.3% in September, putting the final nail in the coffin for a potential RBI rate cut next month.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)15th Nov 2020 18:10China+

30 Oct 2020 Expect the BoJ to Extend its Covid Support Measures in March

The Bank of Japan yesterday left its -0.10% policy balance rate and ten-year yield target of "around zero" unchanged, as widely expected.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)29th Oct 2020 13:10China+

29 Oct 2020 Winter is Coming... China's Industry is Set for a Cold Spell in Q4

September likely was as good as it will get for Chinese factories this year.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)28th Oct 2020 13:10China+

28 Oct 2020 Korea's Q3 GDP Bounce is Likely to be Downgraded, Q4 will be Softer

Korea is officially out of recession, with GDP rising by 1.9% quarter-on-quarter in Q3, following the 3.2% plunge in Q2.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)27th Oct 2020 13:10China+

26 Oct 2020 Outright CPI Deflation in Japan is Here, Expect an Exit by Mid-2021

Outright CPI deflation likely already has taken hold in Japan. Friday's data showed inflation falling to zero percent in September, from 0.2% in the previous month.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)25th Oct 2020 19:10China+

20 Oct 2020 China will Lose More Steam in Q4, a Full-Year GDP Drop Remains Likely

China's economic recovery remained broadly on track in the third quarter, officially, at least. GDP growth accelerated to 4.9% year-over-year, from 3.2% in the second quarter.

Miguel Chanco (Senior Asia Economist)19th Oct 2020 19:10China+

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