Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

new orders

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 15.7.21

Jury still out on Q2 GDP growth. Retail sales stabilised in June, but the recovery remains on hold. Industrial production still lacks infrastructure...

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

12 July 2021 The RRR Cut was About Managing Interbank Liquidity

The PBoC followed through with a Reserve Requirement Ratio cut of 0.5 percentage points on Friday, hot on the heels of a strong hint to do so from the State Council meeting...

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

8 July 2021 CPI Inflation Could Still Edge Higher in June, Despite Mid-Year Weakness

Energy inflation is not straightforward to forecast in China, thanks to the lack of clarity over the CPI weights.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

6 July 2021 Local Government Expenditure will Soon Pick up, but Soon Enough?

China's on-balance sheet government deficit has recovered fast since the initial Covid hit early last year, reaching a seasonally adjusted 3.9% of GDP in Q1, on our calculations,...

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

2 July 2021 Chinese Manufacturing is Underperforming; Variants or Reversal

Data in the last few months have suggested that China's foreign trade and manufacturing sector is underperforming compared with Korea's. 

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

1 July 2021 Manufacturing PMI Points to Q2 GDP Growth Slowdown

The official manufacturing PMI indicates that bottlenecks remain a problem.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 17.6.21

Slightly less support from the secondary market, but rises are robust.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 9.6.21

PPI inflation will edge higher and stay lofty through H2. Swine flu ironically is holding back CPI inflation. Machine tool orders could suggest stockpiling.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

2 June 2021 Bottlenecks are Biting in the North East Asian Supply Chain

China's PMIs strongly suggest that supply-side bottlenecks, if anything, are worsening.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

1 June 2021 The PMI Suggests PPI Inflation Likely Jumped Again in May

China's official manufacturing PMI was little changed at 51.0 in May, after April's 51.1, with the index remaining oblivious to U.S. stimulus efforts and in recent months.

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 17.5.21

Industrial production continues to correct down m/m  FAI growth continues to slow  Retail sales correct, but recovery still on track  Inflation is driving investors...

Peter BennettChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 16.4.21

We aren't at all convinced by the official q/q GDP growth slowdown.Factory output probably pulled back sharply in March m/m, but was strong in Q1 overall. Retail sales continue to...

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 9.3.21

Japan cleared more inventory ahead of state of emergency

Freya Beamish (Chief Asia Economist)China+

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