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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Korea

PM Note: Korea Exports November

  • Korean exports reveal pronounced weakness in the northeast Asian economy

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 DECEMBER 2022: PMIs and Korean Exports Point to Weakness

PMIs and Korean Exports Point to Marked Weakness in Northeast Asian Economies

Duncan WrigleyChina+

PM Note: Korea BoK Policy Rate November

  • The BoK hikes by only 25 basis points, balancing worries about growth and inflation

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 24 NOVEMBER 2022: The BoK hikes by only 25 basis points

The BoK hikes by only 25 basis points, balancing worries about growth and inflation

Duncan WrigleyChina+

PM Note: Korea 20 Day Exports November

  • Accelerating Decline in Korean Exports Indicates Global Economy is in Poor Shape

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 21 NOVEMBER 2022: Korean Exports' Decline Accelerates

Accelerating Decline in Korean Exports Indicates Global Economy is in Poor Shape

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 04 OCTOBER 2022: Core inflation rises as cost pressures build for Japan

Yen weakness makes itself felt in core inflation

Korean factory output fell further in September

Craig BothamChina+

16 Sept 2022 China+ Monitor The External Picture Deteriorates for a Helpless Japan

  • Japan’s trade deficit blew out in August, thanks to energy costs and a falling yen.
  • Exports are softer than they seem, flattered for now by price and base effects, but slowing at the margin.
  • Yen weakness is worrying policymakers, but it can’t be fixed by unilateral intervention.

Craig BothamChina+

8 Sept 2022 China+ Monitor Headwinds are Building for the Renminbi, as Exports Face Reality

  • Chinese export growth slowed more than expected
    in August, as reality catches up after reopening.
  • Export growth should continue to weaken, and import compression looks mostly played out...
  • ...This means that the last support for the renminbi is crumbling, at a pivotal moment.

Craig BothamChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 1 SEPTEMBER 2022: Korea confirms the growing weakness of global demand

Korean export growth is even worse than it looks

Korea’s PMI points to a continued slowdown

China adds to the general sense of gloom

A loss of momentum for Japan 

Craig BothamChina+

26 Aug 2022 China+ Monitor

The BoK hiked by 25bp, worried about inflation becoming entrenched. 

Alongside the hike, however, the central bank also sounded a more dovish note. 

The BoK is finally conceding the downside risks to growth, and we think the cycle has nearly peaked. 

Craig BothamChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 22 AUGUST 2022: Korea again signals a slowdown for global trade

Korea again signals a slowdown for global trade

Very modest easing in China

Craig BothamChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 01 AUGUST 2022: The boost from China's reopening is over

The manufacturing boost from reopening is over

Services are flagging again as restrictions tighten

Korean manufacturing also points to a receding tide

Don't be deceived by Korea's export bounce

Craig BothamChina+

2 Aug 2022 China+ Monitor Reality Reasserts Itself in China, as the Reopening Rebound Fades

China’s PMIs fell in July, reversing the June bounce, as the gains from reopening were exhausted.

Other sources of demand are few and far between, with stimulus efforts limited in scope and ambition...

...and global demand on the wane amidst multiple headwinds, as clearly shown by Korean export data.

Craig BothamChina+

1 Aug 2022 China+ Monitor No Change from Policymakers in Japan or China on the Horizon

Japan’s Tokyo CPI inflation was marginally stronger than expected, but still driven by cost-push factors.

Yen weakness should relieve pressure on the BoJ, and confirms an outlook of policy stability into 2024.

China’s Politburo has emphasised zero-Covid over growth, with few signals of significant stimulus.

Craig BothamChina+

22 July 2022 China+ Monitor No Change or Action on the Yen, Now or Next Year, from the BoJ

Thursday’s BoJ meeting followed the usual script, with added emphasis from Governor Kuroda.

The central bank’s current forecasts imply no change in policy until 2024, at least.

Early Korean export data suggest global demand is still waning, and China’s reopening boost is over.

Craig BothamChina+

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