Pantheon Macroeconomics

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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)

17 November 2023 China+ Monitor Japan's Weak Q3 GDP Another Headache for the BoJ

  • Japan’s Q3 real GDP was weaker than expected, due to slower inventory growth and a rising deflator.
  • Private domestic demand remains sluggish, with consumption and investment missing expectations.
  • Interest rates will be kept low for longer, effectively delaying the end of the negative rate policy to Q2.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 16 NOVEMBER 2023

  • Japan’s export growth moderated in October on softer demand from key markets
  • China’s house price fall steepened in October, with renewed price fall observed in tier-one cities

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 15 NOVEMBER 2023: Chinese economy is steady in October

  • Chinese domestic demand is buttressed by fiscal support
  • Japan's weak Q3 GDP adds to the BoJ's headaches

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

15 November 2023 China+ Monitor Chinese Export Growth: More Robust than You Think

  • China’s exports extended their downward trend inOctober, due to weak G7 and regional demand.
  • That said, real export demand for certain goods remains healthy, taking price effects into account.
  • The good news is that imports rose unexpectedly, likely on rising stimulus-related demand.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

13 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Soft Core Inflation Indicates Sagging Domestic Demand

  • Chinese auto sales picked up in October, in a positive sign for consumer demand....
  • ...But sluggish sentiment and a still-high savings rate point to a tepid recovery in 2024.
  • Producer prices fell in October, due to excess capacity and soft demand, at home and abroad.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 9 NOVEMBER 2023

  • China resumes consumer price deflation in October and is dragged down by food and core prices 
  • Producer prices fall at a faster pace, thanks to volatility in global energy and commodity prices

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote : PPI, China, October

  • Producer prices fall at a faster pace, thanks to volatility in global energy and commodity prices

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote : FX Reserves, China, October

  • China FX reserves fall for the third straight month as capital outflow continues

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

9 November 2023 China+ Monitor Slowing Capital Outflows Ease Pressure on China's Foreign Reserves

  • China saw a smaller decline of $13.8B in its FX reserves, to $3,101B, in October...
  • ...Thanks to a less significant valuation effect and lower capital outflows via the Stock Connects.
  • We expect capital outflows to moderate in Q4 as fundamentals strengthen on stimulus measures.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 7 NOVEMBER 2023: Chinese exports continue to fall

  • Falling Chinese exports indicate weak global demand; Japanese wages pick up slightly

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

3 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Industrial Profits Improve Further Stoking Investment Demand

  • China's industrial profits posted a second straight month of growth in September.
  • Revenue is growing faster than costs, as demand and pricing power improve.
  • Industrial profits should continue to improve in Q4, due to a gradual rebound in domestic demand.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

China+ Datanote : Exports, Korea, October

  • Korean exports rise in October for the first time in 12 months

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

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Keywords for: China+ Documents

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