China+ Publications
Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep
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Daily Monitor Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)
- China’s January Caixin services PMI fell short of market expectations and signalled slower growth.
- Output prices fell for the first time in 21 months; firms are facing more market competition.
- Japan’s service industry is expanding faster than expected, but growth is largely based on tourism.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- Chinese industrial profits have been recovering on a year-to-date basis since August 2023...
- ...On improvements in profit margins and industrial value-added, as well as easing producer deflation.
- Industrial profits will likely benefit from further stimulus measures slowly trickling through in H1.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- December’s NBS manufacturing PMI fell for a third straight month, to the weakest level since June.
- The divergence between the official and the Caixin measures continues, especially on export orders.
- The government will rely more on fiscal policy in 2024. The PSL deployment is a quasi-fiscal example.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- Korea’s 20-day exports rose sharply in December on base effects, and jumps in vessel and chip exports.
- Exports to China and Hong Kong continue to recover, while shipments to the EU tanked.
- Any improvement in Korea’s exports hinges on how sustained the ICT rebound and China’s recovery are.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
- The PBoC kept one-and five-year LPRs steady in December, after standing pat on MLF rates earlier.
- Japan’s exports dipped back into negative growth in November following two months of expansion.
- Exports to the US and EU slowed significantly, while car exports continue to grow, albeit less strongly.
Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+
