Pantheon Publications
Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
- Sticky core inflation and fiscal pressures prompt the first policy pause by Banxico since March 2024.
- Rate cuts will resume once inflation moderates, with credibility guiding policy calibration.
- Chile’s inflation remains well contained, despite seasonal increases across several components.
- The RBI pressed pause this month, and we believe it will be at least a year before we see any rate action.
- The 2025 Tet holiday flattered Vietnam’s trade data; exports continue to cool, but a soft landing is likely.
- Philippine sale s data indicate that the economy turned a corner in the middle of the abysmal Q4.
- China will probably cut its 2026 GDP growth target to 4.5-to-5%, following a flurry of local cuts to targets.
- The message is to prioritise medium-term goals, such as promoting tech sectors, over short-term growth.
- Private capital is flowing into AI, notably robotics, and clean energy at home and abroad.
- German industrial production slides in December; Q4 GDP growth set to be revised lower.
- Defence spending has long been visible in German manufacturing data; it should accelerate in 2026.
- Spanish industry had a better Q4 than Q3 2025, but it is starting to lose steam.
- Surveys support our call for GDP growth to have picked up to 0.4% quarter-to-quarter in Q4.
- A dovish MPC means we have brought forward our forecast for the next cut to March, from April.
- We think this will be the last reduction in this rate cycle, however, as wages are proving sticky.
- In one line: Dovish vote and minutes make March close call and signal a desire to cut twice this year at least.
- In one line: Construction activity to grind only modestly higher as tailwinds dissipate.
- In one line: Autos registrations will continue to rise slowly over the coming year.
- In one line: Rebounding growth as uncertainty falls and stubborn price pressures point to just one Bank Rate cut this year.
- In one line: Manufacturing activity can rise at a steady rate in 2026.
- In one line: More downbeat money and credit data, but good enough to signal economic growth close to potential.
In one line: Down in December, but Q4 was still better than Q3.
- In one line: Big disinflation surprise, due to Lunar New Year noise.
In one line: Reverses year-end gains, price pressures intensify.
In one line: Stung by a plunge in aerospace output.
In one line: Momentum is building, but running well ahead of the survey data.
Indonesia’s dream of 6% for 2026 could become reality
Thai deflation now looks set to stick around until mid-year
Philippine inflation is back in the BSP’s range; still expecting a February cut
Too unreliable to be of much use.
- Openings fell in December to their lowest level since September 2020; AI is weighing more on hiring.
- Small business openings are falling, casting doubt over the upbeat payrolls signal from the NFIB survey.
- The quits rate still points to a further decline in wage growth this year; the Fed has room to ease further.
- Chile’s IMACEC rebounded, led by commerce, services and resilient domestic demand momentum.
- Falling inflation, pension-reform liquidity and easier credit conditions set a positive tone for H1.
- Banxico pauses easing as sticky core inflation and fiscal pressures delay convergence to target.
