Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, April 2025

  • In one line: House prices fall in April, but the market will recover quickly.

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, May 2025

  • In one line: ONS vehicle duty correction cuts inflation, news was small, inflation pressures remain sticky.

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, May 2025

  • In one line:Public finances deteriorate in May, tax-hike speculation to mount over the summer.

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, June 2025

  • In one line: Consumers’ confidence inches up, but it will be tested over the summer.

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, June 2025

  • In one line: Rates and guidance unchanged in June, but a dovish tilt to the minutes. 

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, May 2025

  • In one line:Retail sales tank in May but will rebound.

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, June 2025

  • In one line: Activity rises and price pressures fall, but geopolitical stress a rising worry.

Global Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, June 2025

In one line: Stuck in the mud, but also underestimating growth.

EZ Datanote: Flash PMIs, France, June 2025

In one line: Stuck in the mud, but also underestimating growth.

24 June 2025 US Monitor The scope for Fed easing is much bigger than S&P PMI data suggests

  • S&P reports brisk employment growth in June, but itsindex has been a very poor guide to payrolls since 2023.
  • The output price index signals an implausibly large pick- up in core goods CPI inflation ahead.
  • The unwinding of a one-time uplift to Social Security payments probably dragged on income growth in May.

24 June 2025 LatAm Monitor Mexico's economy sees a decent start to Q2, amid persistent threats

  • A rebound in manufacturing and services lifted Mexico’s output in April, but momentum is weak.
  • Consumption faces pressure from high rates, labour-market stress, and fading support from remittances.
  • Colombia’s proposed ballot sidesteps legal processes, raising institutional fears.

24 June 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor Solid end to Q2, but India's PMIs still point to soft-ish GDP growth

  • India’s flash PMIs for June were robust, but note they remain susceptible to huge downgrades…
  • …And they’re still down year-over-year in Q2, indicating big downside risk to GDP forecasts.
  • Other details show waning optimism over the long run, and downward pressure building on core CPI.

24 June 2025 China+ Monitor Temporary export surge belies US-Korea trade frictions

  • Korea’s 20-day export growth rebounded, likely supported by stockpiling as the US’s deadline nears.
  • Shipments to the US, EU and Taiwan were the main drivers, while chip exports were strong in June.
  • The trade-talk logjam continues; we expect the grace period to be extended, allowing more negotiating time.
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence