Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Miguel Chanco (Chief EM Asia Economist)

4 November 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor India's GST collection in October indicates no post-cut pop in activity

  • India’s real GST collection growth in October was flat, at best, showing no post-cut pop in spending.
  • Recovering Chinese demand is helping to keep Indonesian export growth lofty, but big risks linger.
  • We have raised our 2026 inflation forecast for Indonesia to 3.1%, in light of the firm October reads.

Global Datanote: CPI, Indonesia, October 2025

  • In one line: Raising our 2026 average inflation forecast to just over 3%.

PANTHEON EM ASIA DATA WRAP 3 November 2025

A deceptively quiet end to Q3 for Indonesian trade
Raising our 2026 average inflation forecast to just over 3%

EM Asia Datanote: Retail Sales, Thailand, August 2025

  • In one line: ‘Others’ component goes from friend to foe; underlying growth is showing more stability.

3 November 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor Taiwan's GDP growth still strong, but we think it's finally peaked

  • Taiwan’s GDP growth for Q3 b eat expectations, though it moderated slightly to 7.6% from 8.0%.
  • Demand for AI hardware remains solid, but supply-side factors give no indication of strong growth…
  • …Still, the AI boom could also be accelerating productivity gains and capital- deepening.
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence