Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

ian shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder) Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

7 April 2025 LatAm Monitor LatAm positioned to capitalise on trade shifts and tariff pressures

  • Mr. Trump’s tariff uncertainty will continue to weigh on LatAm’s prospects, despite it not being hit too hard.
  • Mexico is aiming for fiscal discipline, but rising debt and optimistic forecasts threaten its credibility, again.
  • Structural reforms, a Pemex overhaul and looking beyond the US are key to stabilising its debt outlook.

4 April 2025 LatAm Monitor LatAm emerges as a modest trade hedge amid US tariff shock

  • USMCA compliance shields Mexico, for now, as tariff risks shift to non-aligning sectors.
  • The US tariff war creates winners in LatAm, as Asia bears the brunt, but collateral damage is a threat.
  • Faltering sentiment and tight financial conditions are weighing on Brazil’s industrial sector.

PM Datanote: Industrial Production, Brazil, February, 2025

  • In one line: Reduced confidence and tight financial conditions are drags.

Global Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, February, 2025

  • In one line: A poor headline, but the underlying trend remains positive.

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, February, 2025

  • In one line: A poor headline, but the underlying trend remains positive.

2 April 2025 Global Monitor BoJ to stand pat in May, even after food inflation spices things up in April

  • US - Liberation Day to reduce uncertainty, but at what inflation cost?
  • EUROZONE - Data signal an ECB pause in April, ‘Liberation Day’ permitting
  • UK - Cuts and creative accounting will restore the fiscal headroom
  • CHINA+ - The BoJ to focus on tariff impact, as food inflation builds again
  • EM ASIA - Unsurprisingly, Taiwan’s central bank continues to hold rates
  • LATAM - Tough days for Banxico demand bold monetary policy action

2 April 2025 LatAm Monitor

  • BanRep left rates on hold, due to persistent inflation pressures despite mixed progress…
  • …But new Board members boost the doves’ influence, hinting at potential rate cuts ahead, COP permitting.
  • Chile’s IMACEC highlights temporary setbacks in the recovery, but fundamentals point to sustained growth.

1 April 2025 LatAm Monitor Mixed signals for Chile in February, but Q1 overall looks decent

  • Chile’s economic data for February show weakness, but growth momentum remains positive for Q1.
  • Geopolitical tensions and the US trade war threaten Chile’s trade-dependent economy and key sectors.
  • Argentina’s economy has started Q1 on a solid footing, but key challenges are emerging.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence