Pantheon Publications
Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder) Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)
- In one line: Retail sales remain resilient, but momentum still looks soft.
- Retail sales remain resilient in Mexico, though discretionary demand looks uneven and selective.
- Banxico’s latest communication strongly suggests the easing cycle has now ended.
- Restrictive real rates likely will continue to curb credit and discretionary spending in H2.
- Consumption and fiscal support continue to cushion activity in Brazil, despite high interest rates
- Investment and confidence indicators point to softer domestic demand over the next three-to-six months.
- Persistent inflation pressures will likely keep the COPOM cautious about further easing.
- Brazil — Institutional tensions deepen
- Mexico — Morena facing mounting pressure
- Colombia — Violence reshaping presidential election
- US - Will “supercore” inflation ever return to target-consistent levels?
- EUROZONE - Margin of safety in the EZ labour market growing thinner
- UK - GDP review: healthy underlying growth suggests resilient GDP
- CHINA+ - China’s shaky start to Q2 to put the focus on policy implementation
- EM ASIA - Thailand’s consensus-beating Q1 GDP provides no real comfort
- LATAM - Brazilian consumption still resilient thanks to temporary supports
- Primary sectors dragged Chilean growth lower in Q1, despite relatively resilient domestic demand.
- Higher oil prices now threaten inflation, household incomes and the external accounts simultaneously.
- Weak activity will likely keep BCCh cautious, despite elevated external uncertainty and inflation risks.
- In one line: External weakness and mining dragged GDP lower in Q1.
- In one line: Activity softened at the end of Q1.
- In one line: Activity softened at the end of Q1.
- Government spending and resilient household demand continue to support activity in Colombia.
- Construction, housing and tradeable sectors remain weak, limiting productive-capacity growth.
- Persistent domestic demand reinforces inflation pressures and strengthens the case for rate hikes.
- In one line: Inflation persistence is becoming harder for the BCRP to dismiss.
- In one line: Inflation persistence is becoming harder for the BCRP to dismiss.
- Durable goods and targeted credit programmes continue to cushion consumption in Brazil.
- Food inflation and softer essential spending point to growing pressure on household purchasing power.
- Fiscal and quasi-fiscal stimulus support near-term activity but complicate the disinflation process.
- Manufacturing continues to drag on activity in Mexico, due to weak demand and capex.
- Construction volatility and the uneven execution of public investments are limiting a broader recovery.
- Mining and AI-linked exports offer partial support, but industry still points to subdued growth in H2.
- Brazil — Domestic issues cool the external-driven rally
- Mexico — Consolidating after a solid rally
- Colombia — Local flows prevent an uglier picture
- US - Hiring plans too weak for recent payrolls momentum to be sustained
- Eurozone - How to find the AI boom in the EZ macroeconomic data
- UK - Underlying GDP growth likely resilient in March
- China+ - Beijing sets terms for Xi-Trump summit amid ongoing Iran tensions
- EM Asia - Dubious leap in public spending behind Indonesia’s Q1 GDP beat
- Latam - Mexico’s headline inflation under control, but core still sticky
- Food, fuel and services inflation in Brazil continue to rise, complicating the COPOM’s easing.
- Extractive industries and autos are supporting activity, while manufacturing and capex remain weak.
- Higher oil prices and still-elevated real rates are exposing the fragile composition of growth.
- Services inflation and labour-cost indexation are driving higher inflation in Colombia.
- Food and weather shocks add pressure, but excess demand increasingly dominates the outlook.
- BanRep likely will continue to hike, as persistent inflation will require more action ahead.
- In one line: Inflation jumped on fuel prices, but underlying pressures remained contained.
- In one line: Industrial activity continues to recover, but momentum remains fragile.
