Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Ian Shepherdson (Chief Economist, Chairman and Founder)

10 September 2025 Global Monitor Dismal payrolls not enough for 50bp Fed cut next week

  • US - Payrolls warrant much looser policy, but 50bp next week is unlikely
  • EUROZONE - Swiss inflation details are dovish; SNB rate cut to -0.25% still on
  • UK - GDP likely unchanged month-to-month in July
  • CHINA+ - China’s exports lose steam on low-techs; slump in US exports persists
  • EM ASIA - Confident BNM holds fire on further easing, following July cut
  • LATAM - Mexico’s economy holds steady, but capex weakness and trade risks persist

3 September 2025 Global Monitor ECB easing cycle is done just as the Fed's is about to begin

  • US - August payrolls likely will maintain the pressure for looser Fed policy
  • EUROZONE - ECB’s easing cycle is over; risks now tilting to rate hikes, in 2027
  • UK - Insolvencies holding steady despite the barrage of headwinds
  • CHINA+ - Chinese manufacturers tolerate tariff shifts, but small firms struggle
  • EM ASIA - BI’s urgency to cut faster since July in context; expect at least one more
  • LATAM - Banxico slows pace of easing as core inflation pressures persist
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence