Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

5 November 2025 LatAm Monitor Brazil's industrial sector struggles as BCB prepares for gradual shift

  • Brazil’s industrial output shrank again, highlighting persistent weakness across key sectors.
  • The labour market—the economy’s last major support pillar—is softening amid tariff shocks and high rates.
  • We expect the COPOM to hold rates at 15% today, but easing signals are likely as disinflation gains traction.

4 November 2025 LatAm Monitor BanRep holds rates as inflation risks persist; Chile's recovery continues

  • High inflation and wage pressures reinforce BanRep’s cautious policy normalisation stance.
  • The fiscal strategy has shifted towards revenue measures, as structural rigidities limit spending cuts.
  • Chile’s broad-based rebound in September confirms domestic demand strength and easing mining issues.

Global Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

PM Datanote: Advance GDP, Mexico, Q3, 2025

  • In one line: A poor Q3, but early Q4 indicators hint at tentative stabilisation.

3 November 2025 LatAm Monitor BCCh holds rates as political noise grows; Mexico's GDP falls in Q3

  • BCCh’s cautious pause reflects sticky core inflation, fragile job data and sensitivity to election-driven noise.
  • …Disinflation, a stable CLP and lower energy tariffs will justify a 25bp cut in December.
  • Mexico’s GDP shrank in Q3 as industry weakened further and services plateaued; Q4 will be better.
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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence