Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Samuel Tombs

UK Datanote: U.K. Public Finances, December 2023

  • In one line: Falling interest payments create scope for tax cuts which the gilt market can tolerate.

Samuel TombsUK

Global Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, December 2023

  • In one line: Slowing trend in the all-items index maintained, despite December’s rebound.

Samuel TombsGlobal

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, December 2023

  • In one line: Slowing trend in the all-items index maintained, despite December’s rebound.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, November/December 2023

  • In one line: The recent slowdown in wage growth looks real, but the MPC will remain anxious about the near-term outlook.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. GDP, November 2023

  • In one line: The underlying trend still looks flat, but a genuine recovery will take hold this year.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Report on Jobs Survey, December 2023

  • In one line: Still supporting the case for rate cuts, but wage growth likely will remain stronger than it implies.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. National Accounts, Q3 2023

  • In one line: The trend in GDP was flat in 2023; expect a material improvement in 2024.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Public Finances, November 2023

  • In one line: The consolidation is progressing well enough for modest tax cuts in the Budget.

Samuel TombsUK

Global Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, November 2023

  • In one line: Sharp decline in inflation not merely due to some of its noisy components.

Samuel TombsGlobal

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, November 2023

  • In one line: Sharp decline in inflation not merely due to some of its noisy components.

Samuel TombsUK

Global Datanote: U.K. S&P Global/CIPS Flash PMIs, December 2023

In one line: Further recovery should ease recession fears.

Samuel TombsGlobal

UK Datanote: U.K. Flash PMIs, December 2023

  • In one line: Further recovery should ease recession fears.

Samuel TombsUK

Global Datanote: U.K. MPC Meeting & Minutes, December

In one line: Continued hawkishness suggests May still is the earliest plausible date for the first rate cut.

Samuel TombsGlobal

UK Datanote: U.K. MPC Decision & Minutes, December

  • In one line: Continued hawkishness suggests May still is the earliest plausible date for the first rate cut.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. GDP, October 2023

  • In one line: A broad-based drop, but expect a recovery in the final two months of 2023.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, October/November 2023

  • In one line:  The trend in wage growth is weakening, but not as dramatically as October’s data imply.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. Report on Jobs Survey, November 2023

  • In one line: Consistent with unemployment rising more quickly than the MPC expects.

Samuel TombsUK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, November 2023

  • In one line: Consistent with a modest revival in retail sales; expect a fuller recovery in 2024.  

Samuel TombsUK

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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence