Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

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Meekita Gupta (Asia Economist)

24 July 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor Taiwan's retail sales shrink in Q2: downside risk to our 6.4% GDP call

  • Taiwan’s retail sales were worse than we expected in June, as they declined by 2.9% year-over-year.
  • This spells trouble for consumption in next week’s Q2 GDP; overall growth should still come in strong.
  • Malaysian inflation fell yet again, to 1.1%, while the government has announced more fuel subsidies.

15 July 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor Malaysian retail sales still struggling to return to pre-pandemic levels

  • Malaysia’s retail sales are still weak; sales volumes  registered no month-to-month increase in May.
  • Real wage growth has been stagnant since the pandemic, weighing on disposable incomes.
  • Q2 GDP will get no lift from consumption, but the  recent rate cut could help Q3

9 July 2025 Emerging Asia Monitor Taiwan's export numbers should cease to surprise, but they still do

  • Another month of exports above 30% in Taiwan, as they fail to moderate despite our expectation.
  • This will be good news for Q2 GDP year-over-year, which is highly correlated with exports.
  • Food and housing costs are finally down consistently, helping to keep inflation below 2%.
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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence