Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Datanotes Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)

UK Datanote: UK Flash PMIs, May 2025

  • In one line: PMI rebounds as uncertainty fades, and drop in price balances helps the MPC.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, April 2025

  • In one line:Borrowing likely overshot the OBR’s projections in April, we still expect tax rises by the end of the year.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, March 2025

  • In one line: House prices jump in March as buyers rush to beat stamp duty, but we expect a partial unwind in the coming months.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, April 2025

  • In one line: Inflation should run around 3.5% for the rest of the year, although an Easter boost means the April headline exaggerates the strength a little.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK International Trade, March 2025

  • In one line: Small boost from tariff-front running, which likely continued as President Trump pushed back reciprocal tariffs by 90-days.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GDP March 2025

  • In one line:Fading consumer caution will keep GDP ticking along.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Labour Market Data, March / April 2025

  • In one line: Gradually easing labour market justifies further gradual rate cuts.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. BRC Retail Sales Monitor, April 2025

  • In one line: Easter distorts the BRC, but look through that and retail sales volumes are still rising strongly.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Report on Jobs Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Job and pay growth improve slightly as payroll tax drag eases, but the MPC downplay the REC now.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK RICS Residential Market Survey, April 2024

  • In one line: The housing market slowdown will be temporary according to the RICS.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK MPC Decision and Minutes, May 2025

  • In one line: Keeping ‘gradual’ guidance disappointed market expectations, but the MPC are on track for a couple more cuts this year. 

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Bank of England Decision Maker Panel, April 2025

  • In one line: Dovish DMP but the survey was run in the eye of the storm, business responses would likely be different now.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Construction PMI, April 2025

  • In one line: The Construction PMI improves but signals falling activity, it will remain weak for some time.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Final Services and Composite PMI, April 2025

  • In one line: Back-to-back rate cuts are likely as sentiment collapses, but accelerating inflation will keep MPC guidance cautious.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Car Registrations, April 2025

  • In one line: Car registrations tank as duties increase.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, April 2025

  • In one line: House prices fall in April as the rush to beat stamp duty increases unwinds, they will rise in H2.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK GfK Consumers' Confidence Survey, April 2025

  • In one line: Consumers' major purchases held up, but downside risks to the retail spending build.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: Retail Sales, March 2025

  • In one line:Retail sales were heating up before President Trump’s tariffs upended the outlook.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: UK Public Finances, March 2025

  • In one line:The public finances are weak heading into the trade war, difficult choices lay ahead for the Chancellor.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

UK Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, March 2025

  • In one line: Erratic computer games and hotel prices drag inflation down, headline inflation will still likely jump to 3.5% in April.

Rob Wood (Chief UK Economist)UK

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Keywords for: Publications

independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence