Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Daily Monitor Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)

6 February 2024 China+ Monitor Caixin services PMI pointing to slower growth, while output prices are falling

  • China’s January Caixin services PMI fell short of market expectations and signalled slower growth.
  • Output prices fell for the first time in 21 months; firms are facing more market competition.
  • Japan’s service industry is expanding faster than expected, but growth is largely based on tourism.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

30 January 2024 China+ Monitor China's industrial profits continue to improve amid slow economic recovery

  • Chinese industrial profits have been recovering on a year-to-date basis since August 2023...
  • ...On improvements in profit margins and industrial value-added, as well as easing producer deflation.
  • Industrial profits will likely benefit from further stimulus measures slowly trickling through in H1.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

3 January 2024 China+ Monitor Chinese Manufacturing Activity Continues to Flounder

  • December’s NBS manufacturing PMI fell for a third straight month, to the weakest level since June.
  • The divergence between the official and the Caixin measures continues, especially on export orders.
  • The government will rely more on fiscal policy in 2024. The PSL deployment is a quasi-fiscal example.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

22 December 2023 China+ Monitor Lumpy Exports of Vessels and Chips Drive Korean Shipments Higher

  • Korea’s 20-day exports rose sharply in December on base effects, and jumps in vessel and chip exports.
  • Exports to China and Hong Kong continue to recover, while shipments to the EU tanked.
  • Any improvement in Korea’s exports hinges on how sustained the ICT rebound and China’s recovery are. 

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

21 December 2023 China+ Monitor China Keeps Lending Rates Steady, As Fiscal Policy Is in the Driver's Seat

  • The PBoC kept one-and five-year LPRs steady in December, after standing pat on MLF rates earlier.
  • Japan’s exports dipped back into negative growth in November following two months of expansion.
  • Exports to the US and EU slowed significantly, while car exports continue to grow, albeit less strongly.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)China+

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence