Pantheon Macroeconomics

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BUSINESS INSIDER - This key labor market indicator hasn't been this strong in years

On Thursday morning, we'll get the best-performing indicator of the US labor market: initial jobless claims. For a while now, Pantheon Macroeconomics' Ian Shepherdson has been stressing that the weekly print is noisy, particularly with the volatility the end-of-year season brings

12th Feb 2015 11:38News

BUSINESS INSIDER - Wages for American workers still look like they are about to go higher

In January, average hourly wages grew 0.5% over the prior month, the biggest month-on-month increase since November 2008......Ian Shepherdson at Pantheon Macro said the outlook for wage growth is still strong

9th Feb 2015 10:41News

BUSINESS INSIDER - Germany's ballooning trade surplus just hit a new record size

Germany's exporters just broke another record: The trade surplus for Europe's biggest economy is now at its highest on record.........Here's how Germany's recent export history looks, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics

9th Feb 2015 10:41News

NEW YORK TIMES - U.S. Economy Added 257,000 Jobs in January - Unemployment Rate at 5.7%

The economic momentum evident late last year carried into 2015, the Labor Department said Friday, with American employers adding 257,000 jobs in January as wage growth rebounded and more people joined the workforce

6th Feb 2015 15:05News

BLOOMBERG - And Now It's Time to Talk About the Fed

With today's jobs report confirming a strong labor market recovery, it's time to turn our attention back to the Fed

6th Feb 2015 14:24News

BUSINESS INSIDER - US trade deficit balloons

The US trade deficit unexpectedly widened by 17% to $46.6 billion in December from $39.8 billion in November.

5th Feb 2015 16:31News

BUSINESS INSIDER - Here come private payrolls ...

In a note to clients ahead of the report, Ian Shepherdson at Pantheon Macro said that while ADP isn't all that reliable of an indicator for the government's payroll release, set for Friday morning.

4th Feb 2015 14:35News

POLITICO - Downside risk to GDP today

OWNSIDE RISK TO GDP TODAY -- Pantheon's Ian Shepherdson: "We are nervous about the first estimate of fourth quarter GDP growth, due today

30th Jan 2015 13:39News

CHANNEL NEWS ASIA - US weekly jobless claims fall 14%

Initial jobless claims, a sign of the pace of layoffs, dropped to a seasonally-adjusted 265,000 in the week ending Jan 24, a hefty decline of 43,000 from the prior week's slightly upwardly revised level of 308,000

30th Jan 2015 10:01News

BUSINESS INSIDER - Europe's Largest Economy Is Officially In Deflation

Germany's consumer price index fell 0.3% month-over-month in January. It's the first time the inflation rate went negative since September 2009. "Deflation has arrived," Pantheon Macroeconomics' Claus Vistesen said

30th Jan 2015 09:59News

WALL STREET JOURNAL - U.S. Pending Home Sales Drop in December

The U.S. housing market stumbled into 2015 as a leading indicator of home sales dipped in December

30th Jan 2015 09:57News

NEW YORK TIMES - Federal Reserve Won't Raise Interest Rates Before June, at Earliest

The Federal Reserve kept its options open on Wednesday, signaling that it would not raise short-term interest rates any earlier than June, while leaving unresolved how much longer it might be willing to wait before lifting its benchmark rate from near zero, where the central bank has held it for more than six years

29th Jan 2015 09:33News

WALL STREET JOURNAL - Economists React to the January Fed Statement: 'The Door is Still Open to a June Hike'

The Federal Reserve said Wednesday it would keep short-term interest rates near zero until at least the middle of the year. The central bank's policy committee also signaled caution about low inflation and nodded to overseas uncertainty by including new language that it would monitor international developments. Here's how economists reacted

29th Jan 2015 09:22News

MAIL ONLINE - US home prices still trend lower in November

US home prices rose in November from October but the underlying trend continued to point to a slowdown in price gains, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index released Tuesday

27th Jan 2015 15:46News

CBS NEWS - Will Syriza win rock the global economy?

Claus Vistesen on the Greek election results impact on the Eurozone

27th Jan 2015 09:20News

NEW YORK TIMES - European Central Bank's Bond-Buying Will Help U.S. Tourists and Investors

European Central Bank's Bond-Buying Will Help U.S. Tourists and Investors...

23rd Jan 2015 09:52News

CBS NEWS - European Central Bank unveils major stimulus program

European Central Bank unveils major stimulus program...

22nd Jan 2015 15:54News

BUSINESS INSIDER - Housing Starts Surge In December

Housing Starts Surge In December

22nd Jan 2015 09:26News

CNBC - Is Draghi about to massively misfire?

Is Draghi about to massively misfire?

21st Jan 2015 09:35News

DAILY TELEGRAPH - Dollar dives as weak US retail sales data raises growth fears

Ian Shepherdson on December's low US retail sales.

16th Jan 2015 11:36News

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