Pantheon Macroeconomics - Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

U.S. Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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U.S. Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic

  26 May 2020 Reopening Risks Overstated by Hugely Increased Testing

The closer we look at the data, the less concerned we are at the painfully slow decline in the number of new daily confirmed Covid-19 cases.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  Pantheon Macro Daily Coronavirus Update May 22

In one line: More testing = more cases; evidence of a second wave is scant.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  22 May 2020 A Second Covid Wave would be Nothing Like as Bad as the First

We are hearing a great deal about the threat of a second wave of Covid-19 infections, caused either by the reopening of the economy, or the arrival of cooler weather in the fall, or both.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  Pantheon Macro Daily Coronavirus Update May 21

In one line: If the uptick in U.S. new cases is real, deaths will follow; don't bet on it.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  21 May 2020 FOMC Pondering Stronger Forward Guidance and de jure Curve Control

The FOMC kept policy unchanged at April's meeting-- rates stayed at zero, and all the market valves are wide open, as needed--but policymakers spent considerable time pondering what might happen over the next few months, and how policy could evolve.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  Pantheon Macro Daily Coronavirus Update May 20

In one line: Better news from Florida, but daily new cases still rising in some states.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  20 May 2020 The Labor Market Data will Drive Congress to Act Again

Fed Chair Powell broke no new ground in his Senate Testimony alongside--virtually--Treasury Secretary Mnuchin yesterday, maintaining the cautious tone of his recent public statements.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  Pantheon Macro Daily Coronavirus Update May 19

In one line: Disappointing U.S. data yesterday, but not disastrous; Florida's uptick is disconcerting.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  19 May 2020 Full Recovery is a Long Way Off, but Markets Trade on News and Hopes

Fed Chair Powell's comment on Sunday's "60 Minutes", that a recovery in the economy "may take a while... it could stretch through the end of next year" did not prevent a 3% jump in the S&P 500 yesterday.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  Pantheon Macro Daily Coronavirus Update May 18

In one line: The downward trend in U.S. cases continues, but at a slower pace.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

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