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Latin America Publications

18 October 2017 Venezuela's Woes Will Increase Even A er Maduro's "Win"

Venezuela's fundamentals continue to deteriorate, economic chaos is increasing and the social/political situation remains fragile. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

17 October 2017 Will Argentina's Domestic Demand Rebound in Coming Quarters?

Recent data in Argentina confirm the resilience of cyclical upturn. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

16 October 2017 MXN to Remain under Strain due to NAFTA and Political Risks

The Mexican peso and spreads have recently come under severe pressure. Last week, for instance, the MXN plummeted 2% against the USD to 18.9, the weakest level since May, as our first chart shows. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 October 2017 Brazilian Consumption is Picking Up, Despite August's Poor Data

Brazil's retail sales data undershot consensus in August, falling by 0.5% after four straight gains. But we think this merely a temporary softening, following the strong performance in recent months. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 October 2017 Peru's Central Bank Likely Will Ease Tomorrow, but Room has Shrank

Peru's central bank likely will cut its main interest rate by 25bp to 3.25% on Thursday. Inflation dipped in September and likely will increase only marginally in October, while economic growth was relatively sluggish at the start of Q3. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

10 October 2017 Inflation is Finally Abating in Mexico But no Banxico Easing Until Q2

Inflation in Mexico fell significantly in September. Data yesterday showed that the CPI rose just 0.3% month-to-month, pushing the year-over-year rate down to 6.4% from 6.7% in August, its highest level in 16 years. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

9 October 2017 Inflation Surprises in September, but Will Central Banks Care?

Recent inflation numbers across LatAm have surprised, in both directions. On the upside, Brazil's IPCA index rose 0.2% month-to-month in September, above the market consensus forecast of 0.1%. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

6 October 2017 The Mining Recovery is Driving Chile's Rebound, Will it Last?

Chile's growth dynamics were robust in August, according to the latest data. Production rose and consumption remained strong during most of Q3. Indeed, industrial output increased 5.1% year-over- year, up from an already strong 3.1% increase in July, and contrasting sharply with the 2% fall in Q2. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

4 October 2017 Survey Data Suggest Recoveries in Brazil and Mexico are on Track

The Brazilian economy has been recovering at a decent pace in recent months. The labor market is on the mend, with the unemploymen t rate falling rapidly to 12.5% in August from 14% at the end of Q1. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

3 October 2017 BanRep Leaves Rates on Hold, But Further Stimulus Will Come Soon

Colombia's Central Bank is facing a short-term test. The recent fall in inflation was interrupted in August--data due on Thursday will show another increase in September--while economic growth, particularly consumption, is struggling, at least for now. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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