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Latin America Publications

13 December 2017 Mexico's Manufacturing Starts Q4 Badly, but it Will Gradually Improve

Mexican industrial activity started the fourth quarter badly. Industrial production fell 0.1% month- to-month in October, pushing the year-over-year rate slightly up to -1.1% from -1.2% in September and -0.7% in Q3.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

12 December 2017 Banxico Likely Will Keep Rates on Hold, but Options Are Wide Open

November's inflation data in Mexico, showing a modest increase in the headline rate, have strengthened the case for further monetary tightening. But we stick to our long-standing view that the Board will leave rates at 7.0% on Thursday.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 December 2017 Chile's Second Round is Shaping Up to be a Nail-Biter, PiƱera to Win

On December 17, voters will go to the polls for the second time in less than a month to choose Chile's next president.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

8 December 2017 Brazil's Central Bank Leaves the Door Open for More Easing in Q1

The Brazilian central bank cut its benchmark Selic interest rate by 50bp, to 7.0%, on Thursday night and confirmed our view that the end of the easing cycle is not far off.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

6 December 2017 Low Rates Will Continue to Spur the Industrial Recovery in Brazil

Brazilian data strengthened early in Q4, supporting the case for the COPOM to slow the pace of rate cuts. We expect the SELIC policy rate to be lowered by 50bp today, to 7.0%.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

5 December 2017 Andean Economies Are Surprising Positively, but Politics is a Risk

Peru's inflation continues to surprise to the downside, paving the way for an additional rate cut next week.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

4 December 2017 GDP Growth Will Rise in Brazil Next Year, but Political Risk is Looming

Data released last week confirm that Brazil's recovery has continued over the second half of the year, supported by steady household consumption and rebounding capex.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

*November 2017 - Latin America Chartbook*

Latam's economies are improving...but political risks are a big threat... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Chartbook  Download

1 December 2017 Will the Improvement in Brazil's External Accounts Continue?

External conditions continue to favour Brazil. The recovery in domestic demand in the world's major economies, particularly the rebound in business investment, has driven a gradual revival of global exports.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

29 November 2017 Unemployment in Mexico Keeps Falling, but Risks Have Increased

Yesterday's October labour market data in Mexico showed that the adjusted unemployment rate rose a bit to 3.4%, from 3.3% in September.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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