Pantheon Macroeconomics - Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Key Issues

20 June 2018 Today's Brexit Bill Vote is a Close Call, but Bigger Decisions Lie Ahead

The vote in the House of Commons today on whether MPs should effectively take control of Brexit negotiations, if Theresa May can't strike a deal by mid-January, looks finely balanced.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

12 June 2018 Core Inflation to Trend Gently Higher - Many Risks in Both Direction

We continue to expect core CPI inflation to drift up further over the course of this year, partly because of adverse base effects running through November, but it's hard to expect a serious acceleration in the monthly run rate when the rate of increase of unit labor costs is so low.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 June 2018 The Fed will Hike this Week, but Likely will Hold Back the Fourth Dot

The Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but as usual after a widely-anticipated policy decision, most of our attention will be focused on what policymakers say about their actions, and how their views on the economy have changed.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

22 May 2018 Maduro Wins Bogus Presidential Election, what will Happen Next?

President Nicolás Maduro has "won' another six-year term, as expected, even as millions of Venezuelans boycotted the election.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

14 May 2018 Brazil's Domestic Consumption Will Continue to do Well, Despite Threats

Data released last week in Brazil reinforced our view of a modest, final, interest rate cut this week, despite the recent strength of the USD and volatility in global markets.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 May 2018 Mexico's Economy on the Mend, but Politics is Now the Biggest Risk

This week's data confirmed Mexico's strong economic performance over the first few months of this year.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 May 2018 Markets Now Underestimate the MPC's Tightening Bias

The MPC emphasised yesterday that its faith that interest rates need to rise further has not been shaken by recent downside data surprises.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

10 May 2018 Still-Weak Consumption Means the MPC has to Tread Carefully

The MPC was relatively bullish on the outlook for households' spending when it signalled its view, in February's Inflation Report, that the case for raising interest rates before the end of this year had strengthened.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

9 May 2018 Improving Economies in the Andes, Inflation is Well Under Control

March economic activity in Chile expanded by a solid 4.6% year-over-year, pointing to Q1 real GDP growth of 4.0%, the fastest pace since Q3 2013, up from 3.3% in Q4.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

9 May 2018 Is Down Now the Only Way for U.K. House Prices?

Britain's housing market appears to be going from bad to worse.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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