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The vote in the House of Commons today on whether MPs should effectively take control of Brexit negotiations, if Theresa May can't strike a deal by mid-January, looks finely balanced.... More by Samuel Tombs
We continue to expect core CPI inflation to drift up further over the course of this year, partly because of adverse base effects running through November, but it's hard to expect a serious acceleration in the monthly run rate when the rate of increase of unit labor costs is so low.... More by Ian Shepherdson
The Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, but as usual after a widely-anticipated policy decision, most of our attention will be focused on what policymakers say about their actions, and how their views on the economy have changed.... More by Ian Shepherdson
President Nicolás Maduro has "won' another six-year term, as expected, even as millions of Venezuelans boycotted the election.... More by Andres Abadia
Data released last week in Brazil reinforced our view of a modest, final, interest rate cut this week, despite the recent strength of the USD and volatility in global markets.... More by Andres Abadia
This week's data confirmed Mexico's strong economic performance over the first few months of this year.... More by Andres Abadia
The MPC emphasised yesterday that its faith that interest rates need to rise further has not been shaken by recent downside data surprises.... More by Samuel Tombs
The MPC was relatively bullish on the outlook for households' spending when it signalled its view, in February's Inflation Report, that the case for raising interest rates before the end of this year had strengthened.... More by Samuel Tombs
March economic activity in Chile expanded by a solid 4.6% year-over-year, pointing to Q1 real GDP growth of 4.0%, the fastest pace since Q3 2013, up from 3.3% in Q4.... More by Andres Abadia
Britain's housing market appears to be going from bad to worse.... More by Samuel Tombs
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