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Eurozone Publications

17 August 2017 Strong and Broad-based Growth in the Eurozone

By Claus Vistesen

The cyclical upturn in the euro area's economy is going from strength to strength. Yesterday's second Q2 GDP estimate confirmed growth at 0.6% quarter- on-quarter, marginally stronger than the 0.5% rise in the first quarter.

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16 August 2017 As Good as it Gets for German GDP Growth in 2017?

By Claus Vistesen

Yesterday's Q2 GDP report in Germany was solid, but the headline disappointed slightly. GDP growth slowed to 0.6% quarter-on-quarter from an upwardly- revised 0.7% rise in Q1. The year-over-year rate, however, rose to 2.1% from a revised 2.0% in Q1.

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15 August 2017 The German Economy Fired on All Cylinders in the First Half of 2017

By Claus Vistesen

Today's advance Q2 GDP report in Germany will add evidence that the EZ economy performed strongly in the first half of 2017. We can be pretty sure that the headline will be robust. The German statistical office reports a confidential number to Eurostat for the first estimate of EZ GDP--two weeks ahead of today's data--which was a solid 0.6%.

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14 August 2017 A Great First Half of 2017 for the EZ Economy, But it Won't Last

By Claus Vistesen

While we were away, the advance Q2 GDP report in the Eurozone confirmed our expectations of a strong first half of the year for the economy. Real GDP rose 0.6% quarter-on-quarter, the same pace as in Q1, lifting the year-over-year rate to a cyclical high of 2.1%.

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*August 2017 - EZ Economic Chartbook*

By Claus Vistesen

The EZ economy finally stretches its legs...but it won't sustain Q1 and Q2 momentum for long

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28 July 2017 The Eurozone is in fine form, as we start our summer break

By Claus Vistesen

This is the final report before your scribe disappears into the Scottish Highlands for a few weeks, and we are leaving you with a Eurozone economy in fine form. The calendar will be relatively light in our absence and will tell us what we already know; namely that the euro area economy maintained its strong momentum in Q2.

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27 July 2017 Greece is Back in the Market, but the Timing is Not the Best

By Claus Vistesen

The strengthening EZ economy increasingly looks like the tide that lifts all boats. The Greek economy is still a laggard, but recent news hints at a brightening outlook. Last week, S&P affirmed the country's debt rating, but revised the outlook to "positive" from "stable."

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26 July 2017 National Surveys are Not Bogged Down by Disappointing PMIs

By Claus Vistesen

Yesterday's national business surveys provided an optimistic counterbalance to the underwhelming PMIs on Monday, although they all suggest that the euro area economy is in good form.

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25 July 2017 The July PMIs Provide a Dose of Reality on the Eurozone Economy

By Claus Vistesen

Yesterday's PMIs kicked off a busy week for Eurozone data on a downbeat note. The composite EZ PMI fell to a five-month low of 55.8 in July, from 56.3 in June; it was constrained by a 0.6 point dip in the manufacturing index to 56.8.

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24 July 2017 Not Much Upside for Eurozone Equities in the Rest of 2017

By Claus Vistesen

The tailwinds that have propelled Eurozone equities higher since the middle of last year remain place, in principle. In the economy, political uncertainty in the euro area has turned into an opportunity for further integration and reforms, and cyclical momentum in has picked up. And closer to the ground, fundamentals also have improved.

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