Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.K. Document Vault

U.K. Documents
U.K. Document Vault

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U.K. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.

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16 February 2018 Retail Sales Likely Started this Year on a Soft Note

January's retail sales figures look set to show that growth in consumers' spending remains stuck in low gear.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

15 February 2018 New Weights Won't Affect Inflation's Trend, But Will Influence its Path

The ONS published provisional new weights for the main components of the CPI on Tuesday. The changes boost our forecast for the average rate of CPI inflation this year by a trivial 0.03 percentage points.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

14 February 2018 The Rise in Services Inflation Shouldn't Make the MPC Flinch

CPI inflation held steady at 3.0% in January, above the consensus by one tenth and thus pushing up the market-implied probability of a May rate hike to 65%, from 62% earlier this week.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

13 February 2018 Is a Second Referendum May's Only Way to Break the Impasse?

Suggestions that the U.K. government might choose to hold a second referendum have been constantly rebuffed by the Prime Minister.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

12 February 2018 Stable CPI Inflation in January Won't Set the Tone for 2018

January's consumer price figures, due on Tuesday, likely will show that CPI inflation held steady at December's 3.0% rate.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

9 February 2018 The MPC's Guidance is Too Fuzzy to Make a May Hike the Base Case

The MPC signalled yesterday that it is actively considering a May rate hike, stating that rates likely will "...need to be tightened somewhat earlier and by a somewhat greater degree over the forecast period than anticipated at the time of the November Report".... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

8 February 2018 Housing Market Wobble Highlights that the MPC Can't Hike Quickly

Markets expect the MPC to shelve November's guidance--that interest rates need to rise only twice in the next three years--at today's meeting.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

7 February 2018 The Economic Fallout from the Plunge in Equities will be Modest

As things stand, we see little reason to revise down our forecasts for the U.K. economy in response to the tailspin in equity markets... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

6 February 2018 The PMIs Show Brexit Risks are Continuing to Dampen Growth

The latest PMIs suggest that investors have jumped the gun in pricing-in a 50% chance of the MPC raising interest rates again as soon as May.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

5 February 2018 The MPC Will Dampen Speculation that Rates will Rise in May

We doubt that the MPC will provide a strong signal on Thursday that interest rates need to rise again before the summer.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

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