Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.K. Document Vault

U.K. Documents
U.K. Document Vault

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U.K. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.

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12 April 2019 The Brexit Extension isn't the Death Knell for a 2019 Rate Hike

The E.U.'s decision to grant the U.K. a Brexit extension until October 31 does not extinguish the possibility that the MPC will raise Bank Rate before the end of the year.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 April 2019 Above-Trend GDP Growth in Q1 Puts the Spotlight Back on the MPC

The economy has remained remarkably resilient in the face of intense political uncertainty.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

10 April 2019 Retail Sales Likely Dipped in March, but Remain Firmly on a Rising Path

Our view that households will continue to spend more in the first half of this year, preventing the economy from slipping into a capex-led recession, was not seriously challenged yesterday by the BRC's Retail Sales Monitor.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

9 April 2019 February GDP Data to Show Growth only Slightly Below Trend in Q1

Economic data have yielded the limelight in recent months to Brexit news and, alas, we doubt that February's GDP data, released on Wednesday, will reclaim investors' attention.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

8 April 2019 Don't Rule Out a 2019 Rate Hike, if the Brexit Extension is Long

The point when businesses and households can breathe a sigh of relief about Brexit looks set to be delayed again this week.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

5 April 2019 Will the Current Account Deficit Return to Haunt the Pound?

We remain optimistic on the scope for sterling to appreciate this year, reflecting our views that a deal for a soft Brexit will be reached soon and that the MPC will resume its tightening cycle later this year.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

4 April 2019 The Economy is Struggling, but not to the Extent Implied by the PMIs

All the main surveys of business activity in Q1 now have been released and they present a uniformly downbeat picture.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

3 April 2019 Is there a Majority in the Commons for Any Brexit Proposal?

Once again, MPs failed to coalesce around any way forward for Brexit in the indicative votes process on Monday.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

2 April 2019 Brace for a Pull-Back in Manufacturing Output in Q2

On the face of it, British manufacturers are weathering the global slowdown well. The Markit/CIPS PMI jumped to 55.1 in March, from 52.1 in February, and now comfortably exceeds those for the Eurozone, U.S. and Japan.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

1 April 2019 The PM Will Pick a Softer Brexit over No-deal

The Prime Minister is in a position on Brexit all chess players dread: zugzwang.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

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