Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.K. Document Vault

U.K. Documents
U.K. Document Vault

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U.K. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.

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16 Aug 2019 Consumers Aren't Going to Blink as the Brexit Deadline Nears

July's retail sales figures--the first official data for Q3--provided a reassuring signal that consumers can be counted on to drive the economy as the Brexit deadline nears.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

U.K. Datanote: U.K. Retail Sales, July

In one line: Boosted by Amazon Prime Day, but the underlying trend is solid.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Datanotes  Download

15 Aug 2019 Rising Domestically-Generated Inflation is Tying the MPC's Hands

The unexpected rise in CPI inflation to 2.1% in July--well above the Bank of England's 1.8% forecast and the 1.9% consensus--from 2.0% in June undermines the case for expecting the MPC to cut Bank Rate, in the event that a no-deal Brexit is avoided.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

U.K. Datanote: U.K. Official House Price Index, June

In one line: Treading water, but falling mortgage rates will help soon.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Datanotes  Download

U.K. Datanote: U.K. Consumer Prices, July

In one line: The wage-price link is firmly intact; the MPC's hands are tied.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Datanotes  Download

14 Aug 2019 Labour Market Data Point to Higher Rates if a No-Deal Brexit is Averted

Another month, another strong set of labour market data which undermine the case for the MPC to cut Bank Rate, provided a no-deal Brexit is avoided.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

U.K. Datanote: U.K. Labour Market Data, June

In one line: Another robust report, undermining the case for a rate cut.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Datanotes  Download

13 Aug 2019 Risks to the Consensus for July CPI Inflation are Skewed to the Downside

We expect July's consumer prices report, due on Wednesday, to reveal that CPI inflation dropped to 1.8% in July, from 2.0% in June.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

12 Aug 2019 Q2's GDP Drop is an Inventory-Driven Blip, Growth will Spring Back in Q3

Q2's GDP figures create a terrible first impression, but a closer look suggests that the risk of a recession remains very low.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

U.K. Datanote: U.K. Trade, June

In one line: Surprise surplus due to erratic goods; don't expect a trade boost to materialise soon.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Datanotes  Download

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