U.K. Document Vault
Sorry, but our website is best viewed on a device with a screen width greater than 320px. You can contact us at: email@example.com.
Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.
Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.
January's retail sales figures look set to show that growth in consumers' spending remains stuck in low gear.... More by Samuel Tombs
The ONS published provisional new weights for the main components of the CPI on Tuesday. The changes boost our forecast for the average rate of CPI inflation this year by a trivial 0.03 percentage points.... More by Samuel Tombs
CPI inflation held steady at 3.0% in January, above the consensus by one tenth and thus pushing up the market-implied probability of a May rate hike to 65%, from 62% earlier this week.... More by Samuel Tombs
Suggestions that the U.K. government might choose to hold a second referendum have been constantly rebuffed by the Prime Minister.... More by Samuel Tombs
January's consumer price figures, due on Tuesday, likely will show that CPI inflation held steady at December's 3.0% rate.... More by Samuel Tombs
The MPC signalled yesterday that it is actively considering a May rate hike, stating that rates likely will "...need to be tightened somewhat earlier and by a somewhat greater degree over the forecast period than anticipated at the time of the November Report".... More by Samuel Tombs
Markets expect the MPC to shelve November's guidance--that interest rates need to rise only twice in the next three years--at today's meeting.... More by Samuel Tombs
As things stand, we see little reason to revise down our forecasts for the U.K. economy in response to the tailspin in equity markets... More by Samuel Tombs
The latest PMIs suggest that investors have jumped the gun in pricing-in a 50% chance of the MPC raising interest rates again as soon as May.... More by Samuel Tombs
We doubt that the MPC will provide a strong signal on Thursday that interest rates need to rise again before the summer.... More by Samuel Tombs
U.K. Document Vault, pantheon macroeconomics, pantheon, macroeconomic, macroeconomics, independent advice, independent analysis, advisors, advisers, advisor, advice, independent, analysis, research, economic intelligence, economy, economic, economics, economists, Dr. Ian Shepherdson, Ian Shepherdson, financial market, financial, market, finance, macro, macro research, independent macro research