Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.K. Document Vault

U.K. Documents
U.K. Document Vault

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U.K. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.

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22 June 2018 The MPC Glosses Over Weak Data, but Must Confront Reality in August

The MPC was more hawkish than we and most investors expected yesterday. The vote to keep Bank Rate at 0.50% was split 6-3, f ollowing Andy Haldane's decision to join the existing hawks, Ian McCafferty and Michael Saunders.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

U.K. Webinar - H2, 2018

The MPC won't be passive next year...Brexit permitting... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

21 June 2018 Core Inflation Below 2% Next Year Won't Rule Out Rate Hikes

It is looking increasingly likely that core inflation, which already has fallen to 2.1% in May, from a peak of 2.7% last year, will slip below 2% next year.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

20 June 2018 Today's Brexit Bill Vote is a Close Call, but Bigger Decisions Lie Ahead

The vote in the House of Commons today on whether MPs should effectively take control of Brexit negotiations, if Theresa May can't strike a deal by mid-January, looks finely balanced.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

19 June 2018 Sales by Buy-to-Let Investors Won't Swamp the Market, For Now

The RICS Residential Market Survey caught our eye last week for reporting that new sale instructions to estate agents rose in May for the first month since February 2016.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

18 June 2018 Weak Data to Stop the MPC Talking- Up Rate Hike Chances This Week

Markets currently see a 50/50 chance that the MPC will raise Bank Rate in August and will be looking for a strong signal on Thursday that the next meeting is "in play".... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

15 June 2018 May's Surge in Retail Sales is Just a Weather-Related Blip

The trend in retail sales no longer looks quite so flat, following yesterday's May report. The level of sales volumes in April was revised up by 0.3%.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

14 June 2018 Weakness in Services Inflation Means the MPC Can Sit Tight

May's consumer prices figures bolster the case for the MPC to sit tight and wait until next year to raise interest rates, when the economy should have more momentum.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 June 2018 Labour Data are Simply too Weak for the MPC to Hike in August

April's labour market data show that slack in the job market is no longer declining, while wage growth still isn't recovering. As a result, we no longer think that the MPC will raise Bank Rate in August and now expect the Committee to stand pat until the first half of 2019.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

12 June 2018 Inflation Likely Held Steady in May, but a Brief Pick-up Lies Ahead

May's consumer price figures, released on Wednesday, likely will show that CPI inflation held steady at 2.4%--matching the consensus and the MPC's forecast--though the risks lie to the upside.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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