Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.S. Document Vault

U.S. Documents
U.S. Document Vault

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U.S. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.S. Publications.

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  26 Feb 2020 The Fed's "Too Soon to Tell" Line Won't Hold if Markets Keep Falling

The spread of the Covid-19 virus remains the key issue for markets, which were deeply unhappy yesterday at reports of new cases in Austria, Spain and Switzerland, all of which appear to be connected to the cluster in northern Italy.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  25 Feb 2020 The Fed will Blink if Markets have Many More Days Like Yesterday

Yesterday's stock market bloodbath stands in contrast to the U.S. economic data, most of which so far show no impact from the Covid-19 outbreak.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  24 Feb 2020 Virus-Induced Nerves will Persist until Non-China Cases Decline

While we were out last week, market nervousness over the Covid-19 outbreak intensified, though most key indicators of the spread of the infection continued to improve.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  US Datanote: U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment, January (prelim.)

In one line: Thank the S&P.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  US Datanote: U.S. Industrial Production, January

In one line: Manufacturing is still stagnating.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  US Datanote: U.S. Retail Sales, January

In one line: Don't worry about the soft control number.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  14 Feb 2020 Upticks in Smaller CPI Components and Rent Healthcare Pose Threats

The 0.242% increase in the January core CPI left the year-over-year rate at 2.3% for the third straight month.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  US Datanote: U.S. CPI, January and Weekly Claims

In one line: Rents and heathcare lift the core; they are the key risks for 2020.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  13 Feb 2020 Core CPI Likely Back on Trend, Risks in Rent and Healthcare Persist

The underlying trend in the core CPI is rising by just under 0.2% per month, so that has to be the starting point for our January forecast.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  12 Feb 2020 Powell Sticks to the Line, Current Policy is "Appropriate"

Chair Powell broke no new ground in his semi-annual Monetary Policy Testimony yesterday, repeating the Fed's new core view that the current stance of policy is "appropriate".... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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