Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.S. Document Vault

U.S. Documents
U.S. Document Vault

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U.S. Publications

Below is a full list of our U.S. Publications.

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U.S. Webinar - Q1, 2019

Risks To The Markets' View of Fed Policy: If You Expect Nothing, Prepare To Be Surprised... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Webinar  Download

15 February 2019 Seasonal Problems and Sampling Error Explain December's Sales Drop

We can't remember the last time a single economic report was as surprising as the December retail sales numbers, released yesterday.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

14 February 2019 Five Straight 0.2% Core CPI Gains Aren't Unduly Alarming, Yet

The core CPI has now risen by 0.2% in each of the past five months, a streak last seen 11 years ago.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 February 2019 Few Near-Term Upside Risks to Core Inflation Medium-Term Threat Rising

The odds favor--just--an end to the three-month streak of solid 0.2% increases in the core CPI with the release of today's January report.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

12 February 2019 The Details Matter Much More than the NFIB Survey's Headline Index

We're very interested in the detail of today's January NFIB survey; the headline index, not so much.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 February 2019 ´╗┐Is the Accelerating Fall in Bank Reserves a Real Problem for the Fed?

The rundown of the Fed's balance sheet has proceeded in line with the plans laid out b ack in June 2017.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

8 February 2019 Fiscal Deadlines Promise Drama, but Probably not Crises

Two fiscal deadlines are on the near-horizon.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

*February 2019 - U.S. Economic Chartbook*

The Fed Is All-In On The Slowdown Story...But They're Playing With Fire In The Labor Market... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Chartbook  Download

7 February 2019 November's Drop in Imports won't be Repeated, but it will Lift Q4 Growth

The startling November international trade numbers, released yesterday, greatly improve the chance that the fourth quarter saw a third straight quarter of 3%- plus GDP growth.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

6 February 2019 Don't Worry About the Tightening of Bank C&I Lending Standards

We are not concerned by the very modest tightening in business lending standards reported in the Fed's quarterly survey of senior loan officers, published on Monday.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

5 February 2019 Six Days Later, We're Still Struggling to Make Sense of the Fed's Thinking

We very much doubt that Fed Chair Powell dramatically changed his position last week because President Trump repeatedly, and publicly, berated him and the idea of further increases in interest rates.... More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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