Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.
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The Big Picture on Sino - U.S. Trade Wars...The Immediate Threat and the Medium-Term Risks... More by Freya Beamish
Rising mortgage rates appear to have triggered the start, perhaps, of a tightening in lending standards, even before Treasury yields spiked this month and stock prices fell.... More by Ian Shepherdson
The Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Korea yesterday left its benchmark base rate unchanged, at 1.50%.... More by Freya Beamish
Italian bond yields have remained elevated this week, following the release of the government's detailed draft budget for 2019.... More by Claus Vistesen
Sunday 28th will bring closure to an extraordinary presidential election campaign in Brazil.... More by Andres Abadia
Retail sales fell back to earth in September, indicating that the pick-up in spending over the summer largely was a weather-related blip.... More by Samuel Tombs
A Serious Slowdown is Still Some Way Off...So the Fed has to Keep Turning the Screws... More by Ian Shepherdson
China's monetary and credit data--released yesterday, two days behind schedule--suggest that monetary conditions are loosening at the margin, while credit conditions have remained stable, but easier than in the first half.... More by Freya Beamish
Headline inflation in the EZ remained elevated in September, rising by 0.1 percentage point to 2.1%, while the core rate was unchanged at 0.9% in August; both numbers are in line with the initial estimates.... More by Claus Vistesen
You'd be hard-pressed to read the minutes of the September FOMC meeting and draw a conclusion other than that most policymakers are very comfortable with their forecasts of one more rate hike this year, and three next year.... More by Ian Shepherdson
September's consumer price figures helped to curb expectations that the MPC might raise Bank Rate again before the March Brexit deadline.... More by Samuel Tombs
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