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23 October 2017 Remember Minsky Moments? And Please Give us Capital, says China

Two major themes emerged from the Chinese Party Congress last week, namely, further opening of the financial sector to foreigners, and the threat of a Minsky moment. More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

23 October 2017 The Fiscal Squeeze won't be Eased, Despite this Year's Low Borrowing

At the halfway mark of the fiscal year, public borrowing has been significantly lower than the OBR forecast in the March Budget. More by Samuel Tombs

Region: UK   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

23 October 2017 The EZ's Current Account Surplus Rose in Q3, but the Trend is Falling

The Eurozone's external surplus rebounded further over the summer. More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

23 October 2017 Wage Inflation Still Subdued, but a Decisive Turning Point is Coming

In the absence of any significant data releases today, we want to take a closer look at the outlook for wage growth, and the implications of an acceleration in hourly earnings for inflation. More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

20 October 2017 Chinese Q3 Real GDP Growth was Stable but Below the Official Print

On the official gauge, China's real GDP growth fell minimally to 6.8% year-on-year in Q3, from 6.9% in Q2. Growth edged down to 1.7% quarter-on-quarter from an upwardly revised 1.8% in Q2. More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

20 October 2017 September Existing Home Sales Likely Fell, but the Outlook is Bright

Usually, we forecast existing home sales from the pending sales index, which captures sales at the point contracts are signed. More by Ian Shepherdson

Region: U.S.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

20 October 2017 Domestic Fundamentals Remain Positive for Brazilian Markets

Recent economic indicators in Brazil have undershot consensus in recent weeks, but the economy nonetheless continues to recover. More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

20 October 2017 The Spanish Economy is Resilient to the Chaos in Catalonia, for Now

The Spanish economy has been punching above its weight in the current business cycle. Real GDP growth has trended at about 0.8% quarter-on-quarter since 2015, far outpacing the other major EZ economies. More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

20 October 2017 September's Retail Sales Slump Highlights Consumers' Caution

Retail sales fell sharply in September, highlighting that consumers still are spending only cautiously amid high economic uncertainty and falling real wages. More by Samuel Tombs

Region: UK   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

19 October 2017 China's Leaders Will Allow 2018 Growth to run Below Target

President Xi Jinping started China's Party Congress yesterday with a speech setting out the priorities for the next five years. More by Freya Beamish

Region: Asia   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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