Pantheon Macroeconomics - Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

U.K. Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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U.K. Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic

  UK Datanote: U.K. Markit CIPS Services Survey, March, Final

In one line: Horrendous, and probably not reflecting the full devastation.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  UK Datanote: U.K. Nationwide House Prices, March

In one line: More evidence of a strong pre-virus recovery.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Datanotes [Download]

  2 Apr 2020 How Long Before the Government Lifts the Lockdown?

The duration and future scope of the current lockdown is the main uncertainty that U.K economic forecasters have to grapple with at present.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  1 Apr 2020 Healthy Pre-Virus Balance Sheets Enhance Recovery Prospects

The Q4 national accounts show that the economy lost further momentum at the end of last year, in the face of unprecedented levels of political uncertainty.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  31 Mar 2020 Will Housing Market Activity See a V-Shaped Recovery This Year?

Covid-19 has cut short a nascent recovery in housing market activity.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  30 Mar 2020 Should Holders of Gilts Fear the Impending Surge in Issuance?

The economic downturn and the Chancellor's unprecedented fiscal measures mean that public borrowing likely will be about four times higher, in the forthcoming fiscal year, than anticipated in the Budget just over two weeks ago.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  27 Mar 2020 Brace for a Double-Digit Drop in Retail Sales During the Lockdown

February's retail sales figures highlighted that consumers' spending was flagging even before the Covid-19 outbreak.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  26 Mar 2020 CPI Inflation to Slide Well Below 1% in the Summer

New BoE Governor Andrew Bailey will be reaching for his letter-writing pen soon, to explain to the Chancellor why CPI inflation is more than one percentage point below the 2% target.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  25 Mar 2020 GDP Likely is Falling Much Faster than Even the Gloomy PMIs Imply

Even the record-breaking slump in Markit's composite PMI probably understates the hit to economic activity from Covid-19 and the emergency measures to slow its spread.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K. Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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