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U.K. Key Issues
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U.K. Key Issues

Brexit

Our Chief U.K. Economist, Samuel Tombs, regularly appraises how the economy is coping with the prospect of Brexit in the U.K Monitor, Datanotes and Chartbook. Here, we have highlighted some recent, key reports.

13 March 2018 Has the Brexit Risk Premium Disappeared?

Evidence that U.K. asset prices still are depressed by Brexit risk has become harder to find.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

5 March 2018 Parliament Eventually will Bring Mrs. May Back to the Real World

The Prime Minister told the public to "face up to some hard facts" about Brexit in her speech on Friday, but she still clung to an unachievable vision of what Britain can hope to achieve.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

1 March 2018 The PM's Inevitable Capitulation is Still a Way Off ,Clouding Sterling's Outlook

Sterling fell to $1.38, from $1.39, in the hour following the EU's publication of a draft Article 50 withdrawal treaty, which set out the practical consequences of the principles the U.K. agreed to in December.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 February 2018 Is a Second Referendum May's Only Way to Break the Impasse?

Suggestions that the U.K. government might choose to hold a second referendum have been constantly rebuffed by the Prime Minister.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

2 January 2018 The Economy Won't Spring Back to Life in 2018

The economy slowed less than we expected in 2017.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

11 December 2017 Will Fiscal and Brexit News Prompt More Rate Hike Talk from the MPC?

The MPC was a little irked by the markets' reaction to its November meeting.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

7 December 2017 Tory Eurosceptics Are Not an Invincible Barrier to a Soft Brexit

Brexit talks have hit an impasse over the Irish border. The Republic of Ireland will veto any deal that creates a hard border with Northern Ireland. This means that Northern Ireland must remain in the EU's customs union.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

4 December 2017 Britain Will be Forever Stuck in the Brexit Departure Lounge

Sterling strengthened last week to its highest tradeweighted level since mid-May, amid hopes that the U.K. government will concede more ground to ensure that the European Council deems, at its December 14 meeting, that "sufficient progress" has been made in Brexit talks for trade discussions to begin... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

14 November 2017 Are Investors Complacent to Expect a Smooth Brexit Transition in 2019?

Sterling weakened yesterday, to $1.31 from $1.32, following news that 40 Conservative MPs have agreed to sign a letter of no-confidence in the Prime Minister.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

25 September 2017 Has Sterling's Rally Now Run Its Course?

The speed of sterling's rally this month has caught us by surprise.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

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