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U.K. Key Issues
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U.K. Key Issues

Brexit

Our Chief U.K. Economist, Samuel Tombs, regularly appraises how the economy is coping with the prospect of Brexit in the U.K Monitor, Datanotes and Chartbook. Here, we have highlighted some recent, key reports.

20 June 2018 Today's Brexit Bill Vote is a Close Call, but Bigger Decisions Lie Ahead

The vote in the House of Commons today on whether MPs should effectively take control of Brexit negotiations, if Theresa May can't strike a deal by mid-January, looks finely balanced.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 May 2018 Markets Now Underestimate the MPC's Tightening Bias

The MPC emphasised yesterday that its faith that interest rates need to rise further has not been shaken by recent downside data surprises.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

10 May 2018 Still-Weak Consumption Means the MPC has to Tread Carefully

The MPC was relatively bullish on the outlook for households' spending when it signalled its view, in February's Inflation Report, that the case for raising interest rates before the end of this year had strengthened.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

9 May 2018 Is Down Now the Only Way for U.K. House Prices?

Britain's housing market appears to be going from bad to worse.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

8 May 2018 Don't Expect the MPC to Signal an Imminent Rate Hike Clearly this Week

With little reason to doubt that interest rates will remain at 0.50% on Thursday, focus has turned to what signal the MPC will give about future policy, via its economic forecasts and commentary.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

4 May 2018 Weak PMIs Mean Even a "Hawkish Hold" is Off the MPC's Table

The failure of the Markit/CIPS services PMI to rebound fully in April, following its fall in March, provides more evidence that the economy is in the midst of an underlying slowdown.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

3 May 2018 Can the Prime Minister Fight off the Brexiteers in her Party?

The pressure on Theresa May from Brexiteers within her own party intensified yesterday, when 60 Conservative MPs signed a letter arguing that they could not back a proposal for a "customs partnership".... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 March 2018 Has the Brexit Risk Premium Disappeared?

Evidence that U.K. asset prices still are depressed by Brexit risk has become harder to find.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

5 March 2018 Parliament Eventually will Bring Mrs. May Back to the Real World

The Prime Minister told the public to "face up to some hard facts" about Brexit in her speech on Friday, but she still clung to an unachievable vision of what Britain can hope to achieve.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

1 March 2018 The PM's Inevitable Capitulation is Still a Way Off ,Clouding Sterling's Outlook

Sterling fell to $1.38, from $1.39, in the hour following the EU's publication of a draft Article 50 withdrawal treaty, which set out the practical consequences of the principles the U.K. agreed to in December.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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