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U.K. Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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U.K. Key Issues

Brexit

Our Chief U.K. Economist, Samuel Tombs, regularly appraises how the economy is coping with the prospect of Brexit in the U.K Monitor, Datanotes and Chartbook. Here, we have highlighted some recent, key reports.

17 August 2018 Pessimism Towards Retailers Looks Warranted, Despite July's Sales Rise

Equity prices for U.K. retailers have performed woefully since the E.U. referendum. The FTSE All-Share Index for general retailers has underperformed the overall All-Share Index by nearly 30% since the Brexit vote.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

16 August 2018 CPI Inflation is on Track for 2% by December, Despite July's Rise

CPI inflation is on track to fall back to 2.0% in the winter and below the MPC's target thereafter, despite rising to 2.5% in July, from 2.4% in June.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

15 August 2018 Supply Constraints Still aren't Biting, Despite Low Unemployment

The stand-out development in yesterday's labour market report was the drop in the he adline, three-month average, unemployment rate to just 4.0% in June--its lowest rate since February 1975--from 4.2% in May.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

14 August 2018 CPI Inflation Likely Rose in July, but it Remains on a Downward Trend

July's consumer price figures, released on Wednesday, look set to show that CPI inflation rose to 2.5%, from 2.4% in June.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 August 2018 Brexit's Chill Winds are Clearly Visible in the Q2 GDP Data

The Q2 GDP figures show that the economy has little underlying momentum.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

10 August 2018 The Housing Market Still has a Faint Pulse

Surveys released over the last week have suggested that the housing market might be past the worst.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

9 August 2018 June GDP Data to Show Economy has Little Underlying Momentum

Investors with long sterling positions should not pin their hopes on Friday's GDP report to reverse some of the losses endured over the last week.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

8 August 2018 July Brought Neither Feast Nor Famine for Retailers

The run-up to the release of the official retail sales figures has become so congested with other indicators, following alterations by the ONS to its publication schedule, that we now have to preview the data earlier than usual.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

7 August 2018 Car Sales will Remain Stuck in the Slow Lane

It would be a mistake to conclude from July's car registrations data that the market finally has turned a corner.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

6 August 2018 July Surveys Point to Below-Trend GDP Growth in Q3

The MPC's view that the economy likely will grow at an above-trend rate over the coming quarters was challenged immediately last week by the PMIs.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

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