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Latin America Key Issues
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Latin America Key Issues

LatAm Recovery Remains Subpar...But Low Inflation Is Allowing Interest Rate Cuts

  13 Jan 2020 Mexico's Weak Economic Activity Will Push Core Inflation Down

Thursday's CPI report in Mexico showed that inflation is edging lower. We are confident that it will continue to fall consistently during Q1, thanks chiefly to the subpar economic recovery, low inertia and the effect of the recent MXN rebound.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  20 Dec 2019 Banxico to Deliver Further Rate Cuts, Argentina's Recession Ends, Briefly

Banxico cut its policy rate by 25bp to 7.25% yesterday, as was widely expected, following similar moves in August, September and November.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  18 Dec 2019 Banxico to Cut Rates Even Further, but the COPOM is Almost Done

Banxico will meet tomorrow, and we expect Mexican policymakers to cut the main interest rate by 25bp, to 7.25%.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  13 Dec 2019 Brazil's Central Bank Leaves the Door Open to a Final Rate Cut in Q1

The Brazilian central bank cut its benchmark Selic interest rate by 50bp to 4.50% on Wednesday night.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  9 Dec 2019 Inflation is Ending the Year at a Comfortable Rate, but Threats Loom

Data released on Friday showed that November inflation was in line with, or below, expectations in Brazil, Colombia and Chile.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  6 Dec 2019 Brazil's Recovery Continues, in Stark Contrast to Chile's-Temporary-Woes

Brazil's industrial sector is on the mend, but some of the key sub-sectors are struggling.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  4 Dec 2019 GDP Growth Will Rise in Brazil Next Year, but External Risk is Looming

Data released yesterday confirm that Brazil's recovery has continued over the second half of the year, supported by steady capex growth and rebounding household consumption.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  26 Nov 2019 Mexico's Economy is in a Mild Recession, Downside Risks Remain

Mexico's final estimate of third quarter GDP, released yesterday, confirmed that the economy is still struggling in the face of domestic and external headwinds.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  25 Nov 2019 Inflation in Brazil and Mexico is Easing, No Immediate Threats Here

Inflation in the biggest economies in the region remains close to cyclical lows, allowing central banks to ease even further over the next few months.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  22 Nov 2019 No Respite in Sight for LatAm Currencies in the Near Term

Most LatAm currencies have been under pressure recently, with the Brazilian real and the Chilean peso breaking all-time lows versus the USD in recent weeks.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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