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Latin America Key Issues
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Latin America Key Issues

LatAm Recovery Remains Subpar...But Low Inflation Is Allowing Interest Rate Cuts

  11 Nov 2019 AU.S.-Sino Trade Truce will Help to Offset Domestic LatAm Shocks

The apparent thaw in the U.S.-China trade dispute is great news for LatAm, particularly for the Andean economies, which are highly dependent on commodity prices and the health of the world's two largest economies... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  8 Nov 2019 Inflation in Brazil Supports a Dovish BCB, Mexican Capex Rebounded

Headline inflation in Brazil remained low in October, and even breached the lower bound of the BCB's target range.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  1 Nov 2019 The Easing Cycle in Brazil is Nearly Over, Chile's Public Chaos Continues

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--voted unanimously on Wednesday to cut the Selic rate by 50bp to 5.00%, as expected.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  30 Oct 2019 Copom to Cut Further, Politics Allows some Room for Manoeuvre

The news in Brazil on inflation and politics has been relatively positive in recent weeks, allowing policymakers to keep cutting interest rates to boost the stuttering recovery.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  29 Oct 2019 The Mexican Economy Stagnated in Q3, Q4 Will be Slightly Better

While we were out, data released in Mexico added to our downbeat view of the economy in the near term, supporting our base case for interest rate cuts in the near future.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  28 Oct 2019 Fern├índez Likely Won Argentina's Presidency, Brace for the Worst

Recent polls in Argentina suggest that Alberto Fernández, from the opposition platform Frente de Todos, has comfortably beaten Mauricio Macri, to become Argentina's president.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  16 Oct 2019 Colombia's Economy Solid in Q3, but Expect a Challenging Q4

Evidence of accelerating economic activity in Colombia continues to mount, in stark contrast with its regional peers and DM economies.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  15 Oct 2019 Brazil's Modest Recovery Continues, Peru's Central Bank to Cut Soon

Data released yesterday from Brazil support our view that the economic recovery continues, but progress has been slow.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  14 Oct 2019 Resilient Consumption in Brazil, Manufacturing in Mexico Slowing

Hard data for Brazil and Mexico, released last week, support the case for further interest rate cuts.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  9 Oct 2019 Anaemic Growth in Chile and Low Inflation Warrants more Rate Cuts

Chile's inflation outlook remains benign, allowing policymakers to cut interest rates if the economic recovery falters.... More by Andres Abadia

Region: Latin America Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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