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Eurozone Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Eurozone Key Issues

Is the EZ Economy on the Brink of Recession?

  17 Feb 2020 Growth Forecasts in the EZ are about to come down

Friday' second Q4 GDP estimate revealed that the EZ economy barely grew at the end of 2019. The report confirmed that GDP rose by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q4, slowing from a 0.3% rise in Q3, but the headline only narrowly avoided downward revision to zero, at just 0.058%... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  14 Feb 2020 Eurozone Q4 GDP Growth will be Revised Down Today, to Zero

We've already raised a red flag for today's second Q4 GDP estimate in the Eurozone, but for good measure, we repeat the argument here.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  13 Feb 2020 A Double-Dip Recession on the Menu for Italy's in Q1

The fact that Italy's economy is in poor shape will not surprise anyone following the euro area, but the advance Q4 GDP headline was astonishingly poor all the same.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  12 Feb 2020 What on Earth Happened in the Spanish Economy in Q4

On a headline level, the Spanish economy conformed to its image as the star performer in the EZ in Q4.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  10 Feb 2020 The Noose Tightens on Eurozone Optimists, Will the ECB Cut Rates?

Friday's industrial production data in the core EZ economies, for December, were startlingly poor. In Germany, industrial production plunged by 3.5% month-to-month, comfortably reversing the revised 1.2% rise in November.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  30 Jan 2020 Don't Panic Over the Slump in EZ M3 Growth, M1 Still Looks Firm

Yesterday's economic reports in the euro area were mixed.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  22 Jan 2020 The Outlook for the Q1 PMI Data Suddenly Looks Great

Investor sentiment data still indicate that EZ PMIs are set for a significant rebound at start of the year.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  16 Jan 2020 Early Evidence Points to a further Dip in EZ GDP Growth in Q4

Judging by the solid advance data in the major economies, yesterday's EZ industrial production report should have hit desks with a bang, but it was a whimper in the end.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  10 Jan 2020 The Outlook for German Q4 GDP is Poor, but also Murkier than Usual

Yesterday's industrial production report in Germany was much better than implied by the poor new orders data--see here--released earlier this week.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  8 Jan 2020 Will EZ Inflation be Higher, and Stickier, than Markets Expect

The ink has hardly dried on economists' and the ECB's inflation projections for 2020, but we suspect that some forecasters are already considering ripping up the script.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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