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Eurozone Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Eurozone Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic
  5 Nov 2020 Eurozone GDP will Decline in Q4, but by How Much

Normally, we wouldn't pin our story on the fact that the PMIs are signalling a risk of outright contraction in the economy, but on this occasion we think the surveys are on the money.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  2 Nov 2020 Consensus-Beating Q3 GDP Data are a False Dawn for the EZ

Friday's data deluge delivered uplifting, if backward- looking, news in the EZ economy. Eurostat's advance report showed that GDP jumped by 12.7% quarter-on- quarter in Q3, partially reversing the cumulative 15.5% collapse during lockdown in the first half of the year.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  27 Oct 2020 Controlling the Virus will Cost EZ Q4 GDP Growth Dearly

On a headline level, yesterday's IFO in Germany confirmed the main message from last week's PMIs.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  26 Oct 2020 EZ Q4 GDP Growth Forecasts Fall, the Only Question is, How Much?

The headline EZ data added to the evidence of a weakening recovery while we were away.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  12 Oct 2020 The French Aerospace Sector has been Knocked Out by Covid-19

Friday's sole economic report added to the evidence that the rebound in EZ manufacturing petered out midway through Q3, even if we still think the German numbers--see here--will rebound soon.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  9 Oct 2020 An Update on EU Fiscal Stimulus, the Recovery Fund Faces Delay

On the surface, the EU's joint stimulus efforts are progressing nicely.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  24 Sept 2020 The EZ Recovery is Now Seriously Threatened by the Virus' Return

Yesterday's advance EZ PMI data for September conformed to our expectations.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  22 Sept 2020 Is the ECB Considering Putting the PEPP out to Pasture

A Financial Times report over the weekend--see here--added to the speculation that the ECB is not going to lift the amount of asset purchases pledged under its Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program--PEPP-- anytime soon.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  15 Sept 2020 Has the EZ Reached a Ceiling for its Post-Covid-19 Rebound

The return of the virus in the Eurozone isn't what the economy needed, but we continue to think it differs from the first shock, for three key reasons.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  11 Sept 2020 The ECB Just Raised the Bar for a Boost to PEPP, Significantly

On a headline level, the ECB conformed to consensus expectations yesterday by leaving its policy stance unchanged.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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