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Eurozone Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Eurozone Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic
  21 Sept 2020 Is the EZ Carry Trade in U.S. Rates Over?

Friday's sole economic report revealed that the Eurozone's current account surplus fell slightly at the start of Q3, despite robust trade numbers.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  18 Sept 2020 The ECB Will Struggle to Hold its Optimistic Line on Inflation

Yesterday's detailed EZ inflation data for August kick ed-off a period in which the numbers will be scrutinised more closely than usual.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  17 Sept 2020 Back to Normal for EZ External Trade or a New Story

The EZ trade surplus in goods all but evaporated during lockdown.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  16 Sept 2020 ZEW and Sentix Point to a Leap in the EZ PMIs, We don't Buy it

Market-based sentiment indicators in the Eurozone are becoming increasingly detached from the reality of the threat of resurgent Covid-19 and the danger this poses to the strength of the economic recovery.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  15 Sept 2020 Has the EZ Reached a Ceiling for its Post-Covid-19 Rebound

The return of the virus in the Eurozone isn't what the economy needed, but we continue to think it differs from the first shock, for three key reasons.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  14 Sept 2020 German Core Inflation is 0.5pp Lower After the July VAT Cut

Friday's sole economic report provided further clarity on the impact on Germany's inflation data from the Value-Added-Tax cut in July.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  11 Sept 2020 The ECB Just Raised the Bar for a Boost to PEPP, Significantly

On a headline level, the ECB conformed to consensus expectations yesterday by leaving its policy stance unchanged.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  10 Sept 2020 Today's ECB Meeting is too Close to Call, More PEPP on the Way

The balance of risks is finely poised ahead of today's ECB meeting.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  9 Sept 2020 The EU and the U.K. are Steering Straight for a No-Deal Brexit

Before we cover yesterday's economic news, we regret to inform our readers that the Brexit negotiations remain bizarre as ever.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  8 Sept 2020 Don't Give up Hope of a Rebound in German Manufacturing

Yesterday's German manufacturing data were a damp squib. Industrial production, including construction, rose by 1.2% month-to-month in July, lifting the year- over-year rate by 1.4pp, to -10.0%, undershooting the consensus and our own expectation of a rise of 5%.... More by Vistesen Claus

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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