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Eurozone Key Issues
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Eurozone Key Issues

Is the EZ Economy on the Brink of Recession?

  15 Nov 2019 More Evidence Emerges of Stabilisation in the EZ Economy

Yesterday's second Q3 GDP estimate confirmed that the EZ economy expanded by 0.2% quarter-on- quarter in Q3, the same pace as in Q2, leaving the year-over-year rate unchanged at 1.2%.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  11 Nov 2019 German Net Exports fell in Q3, but less than in Q2, No recession then

Friday's data force us to walk back our recession call for Germany. The seasonally adjusted trade surplus rose in September, to €19.2B from €18.7B in August, lifted by a 1.5% month-to-month jump in exports, and the previous months' numbers were revised up significantly.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  8 Nov 2019 About that German Recession in Q2 and Q3...It's is a Very Close Call

Manufacturers in Germany endured another miserable quarter in Q3.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  5 Nov 2019 No Relief for Manufacturing in the Eurozone at the Start of Q4

Yesterday's final manufacturing PMIs for October were grim, but they told investors nothing they don't already know.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  1 Nov 2019 Where's the Fire, The EZ Economy is Weak, but also Stabilising

The more headline hard data we see in the Eurozone, the more we are getting the impression that 2019 is the year of stabilisation, rather than a precursor to recession.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  29 Oct 2019 Can we Rely on M1 as a Leading Indicator in the Eurozone

Yesterday's EZ money supply data confirmed that liquidity conditions in the private sector improved in Q3, despite the dip in the headline.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  28 Oct 2019 Germany is in Recession, When Will the Recovery Begin?

Survey data in Germany showed few signs of picking up from their depressed level at the start of Q4.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  25 Oct 2019 A Dignified Farewell by Mr. Draghi, All Eyes Now on Ms. Lagarde

The ECB made no changes to policy yesterday, leaving its key refinancing and deposit rates unchanged, at 0.00% and -0.5%, and confirmed that it will restart QE in November at €20B per month.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  14 Oct 2019 If German CPI Data won't Guide Bunds, Maybe Fiscal Policy will

Friday's data added further colour to the September CPI data for the Eurozone.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  11 Oct 2019 It's a Close Call, but we Still Think Germany was in Recession in Q3

Yesterday's economic reports in the Eurozone were ugly.... More by Claus Vistesen

Region: Eurozone Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

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