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Asia Key Issues
Pantheon Macroeconomics aims to be the premier provider of unbiased, independent macroeconomic intelligence to financial market professionals around the world.

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Asia Key Issues

The Coronavirus Pandemic
  15 June 2020 Korea's Unemployment Rate will Surpass the Financial Crisis Peak

Korea's unemployment rate rose faster than expected in May, jumping to 4.5%, from 3.8% in April. We've been arguing for some time that the delayed impact of the economic growth slowdown from late- 2017 to early-2019 would eventually push the jobless rate to the mid-4% level this year; the sudden stop caused by Covid-19 merely sped up this process.... More by Chanco Miguel

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  10 June 2020 Collapse in Overtime Hours and Pay in April is Damning for Japan's Q1

Private consumption in Japan will take time to recover, even if some semblance of normality returns from this month.... More by Chanco Miguel

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  9 June 2020 Have Chinese Exports Avoided the Worst of the Covid Hit to Trade

China's trade surplus jumped to a record high in May, defying expectations for a fall by spiking to $69.2B.... More by Chanco Miguel

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  8 June 2020 Diving into China's Uneven Bounce, and India's Evolving Covid Strategy

China's post-Covid-19 economic recovery is becoming increasingly undeniable. But the more relevant questions now are the speed of its revival, and whether there are still any low-hanging fruit to pick.... More by Chanco Miguel

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  29 May 2020 Expect Another BoK Cut, as the Data will Continue to Disappoint

The Monetary Policy Board of the Bank of Korea yesterday voted unanimously to lower its base rate by 25 basis points to a record low of 0.50%.... More by Beamish Freya

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  28 May 2020 Expect a Drop in India's Q1 GDP, the Early Virus Hit was Sizeable

The early damage in India from Covid-19 and the nationwide lockdown likely was significant enough to hammer the GDP report for the first quarter, due tomorrow.... More by Beamish Freya

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  27 May 2020 Japan's April Activity Likely Dropped off a Cliff, How Bad was it

Japan's all-industry activity index dropped by 3.8% month-on-month in March, worse than the 0.7% slip in February.... More by Beamish Freya

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  26 May 2020 Goodbye China GDP Target, Don't Let the Door Hit you on the Way Out

We've suspected that China's GDP targeting system was on its last legs for some time now.... More by Beamish Freya

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

  19 May 2020 Japan's Q1 Contraction was Just a Taster, the Q2 Hit will be Worse

Japan's economy contracted by 0.9% quarter-on- quarter in Q1, following a downwardly-revised 1.9% plunge in the previous quarter.... More by Beamish Freya

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Daily [Download]

  18 May 2020 V-Shaped Recovery Over in China's Factories, Consumers Still Lagging

China's two-tier post-lockdown economic revival continued in April. Industrial production beat expectations easily, rising by 3.9% year-over-year, after slipping by 1.1% in March.... More by Beamish Freya

Region: Asia Publication: Monitor Weekly [Download]

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