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18 matches for " technical recession":
Japan is one of the countries most exposed to economic damage from the coronavirus.
Last week's detailed Q3 GDP data in Germany verified that GDP fell 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, down from a 0.5% rise in Q2, a number which all but confirms the key story for the economy over the year as a whole.
The official PMIs suggest that the January survey data have escaped the worst of the hit from the virus.
Leading economic indicators in the Eurozone continue to send contradictory signals. Most of the headline surveys indicate that a further slowdown, and perhaps even recession, are imminent, while the money supply data suggest that GDP growth is about to re-accelerate.
The PMIs in the Eurozone are still warning that the economy is in much worse shape than implied by remarkably stable GDP growth so far this year.
Yesterday's data showed that the euro area PMIs were a bit stronger than initially estimated in November.
Friday's detailed Q2 growth data in the EZ broadly confirmed the advance numbers.
Data while we were away have intensified fears that the global, and by extension EZ, economy is slipping into recession.
Manufacturing in the EZ was held above water by Ireland at the end of Q3.
German manufacturing rebounded somewhat mid-way through Q3.
Japan's money and credit data have shown signs of life in recent months, but that's all set to change quickly, due to the disruptions caused by the outbreak of the coronavirus.
The ECB disappointed slightly on the big headlines in yesterday's policy announcements, but it delivered shock and awe with the details
Friday's data force us to walk back our recession call for Germany. The seasonally adjusted trade surplus rose in September, to €19.2B from €18.7B in August, lifted by a 1.5% month-to-month jump in exports, and the previous months' numbers were revised up significantly.
The early Q4 hard data in Germany recovered a bit of ground yesterday.
The Brazilian economy managed to avert a technical recession over the first half of the year.
In one line: Technical recession averted for now; but growth has stalled.
In one line: Avoiding a technical recession by small margin.
Expect a Rare Q/Q Fall in Chinese GDP In Q1...A Technical Recession In Japan is on the Cards...The Real Hit to Korean Trade will Start This Month...Post-Virus in Oil Will Help India's Recovery
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