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After four straight sub-consensus core CPI readings, we think the odds now favor reversion to the prior trend, 0.2%, over the next few months.
The 20bp increase in 10-year yields over the past month doesn't live up to the hype; bondmageddon it was not.
Today brings a huge wave of data, but most market attention will be on the June CPI, following the run of unexpectedly soft core readings over the past three months.
Chair Yellen has become quite good at not giving much away at her semi-annual Monetary Policy Testimony.
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