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22 matches for " global trade war":
The MPC held back last week from decisively signalling that interest rates would rise when it meets next, in May.
The verdict from the German business surveys is in; economic growth probably slowed further in Q2.
Recent global developments lead us to intensify our focus on trade in LatAm.
Peru's economic recovery gathered strength late last year.
Mexican economic data was surprisingly benign last week.
Money supply growth in the Eurozone rebounded slightly last month, reversing some of the weakness at the start of the year.
The key aspects of the ECB's policy stance will remain unchanged at today's meeting.
We are sticking to our call for a weak first half in Japan, despite likely upgrades to Q1 GDP on Monday.
Colombia's GDP growth hit a relatively solid 2.8% year-over-year in Q4, up from 2.7% in Q3, helped by improving domestic fundamentals, which offset the drag from weaker terms of trade.
Brazil's external accounts continue to surprise to the upside, with the current account deficit remaining close to historic lows and capital flows performing better than anticipated, mostly due to higher-than- expected FDI.
Brazil's central bank kept the Selic policy rate at 6.50% this week, as markets broadly expected.
Peru's April supply-side monthly GDP data confirm that the economic rebound lost momentum at the start of the second quarter.
Chile and Peru faced similar growth trends in 2018, namely, a solid first half, followed by a poor second half, particularly Q3.
Brazilian inflation has been well under control in the past few months, still laying the ground for rates to remain on hold for the foreseeable future.
Business investment has held up better than most economists--ourselves included--expected after the Brexit vote.
LatAm assets did well in Q1, on the back of upbeat investor risk sentiment, low volatility in developed markets and a relatively benign USD.
The ramifications of continued disappointing Asian growth, particularly in China, and its impact on global manufacturing, are especially hard-felt in LatAm.
Colombia has been one of LatAm's outperformers this year.
The MPC will have to issue fresh, dovish guidance in order to satisfy markets on Thursday, which now think the Committee is more likely to cut than raise Bank Rate within the next six months.
Leading indicators and survey data in Brazil still suggest a rebound from the relatively soft GDP growth late last year and in Q1.
It is still premature to make fundamental changes to our core views for the global or LatAm economy, following President Trump's plan to slap hefty tariffs on steel and aluminium imports, potentially escalating into a global trade war.
The build-up to today's ECB meeting has drowned in the focus on Italy's new political situation and the rising risk of a global trade war.
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