Pantheon Macroeconomics - Today's preliminary estimate of Q4 GDP likely will show that the Brexit vote has not caused the economy to slow yet. But growth at the end of last year appears to have relied excessively on household spending, which has been increasingly financed by debt. GDP growth likely will slow decisively in Q1 as the squeeze on households' real incomes intensifies.

U.K. | 26 January 2017 GDP Growth Remained Brisk in Q4, but Headwinds are Building
Today's preliminary estimate of Q4 GDP likely will show that the Brexit vote has not caused the economy to slow yet. But growth at the end of last year appears to have relied excessively on household spending, which has been increasingly financed by debt. GDP growth likely will slow decisively in Q1 as the squeeze on households' real incomes intensifies.

Sorry, but our website is best viewed on a device with a screen width greater than 320px. You can contact us at: info@pantheonmacro.com.

26 January 2017 GDP Growth Remained Brisk in Q4, but Headwinds are Building

By Samuel Tombs

Today's preliminary estimate of Q4 GDP likely will show that the Brexit vote has not caused the economy to slow yet. But growth at the end of last year appears to have relied excessively on household spending, which has been increasingly financed by debt. GDP growth likely will slow decisively in Q1 as the squeeze on households' real incomes intensifies.

Posted: 25th Jan 2017 in 'U.K.'

This document is only available to subscribers of our UK Economic Research.

Request a complimentary trial or login here

Are you taking full advantage of our daily publications?

Pantheon Macroeconomics produce daily publications for U.S., Eurozone, Latin America, UK and Asia, as well as analysis on key data within a few minutes of their release. To activate a complimentary trial on any of these areas, please click here.

U.S. Economic ResearchEurozone Economic ResearchLatin America Economic ResearchUK Economic ResearchAsia Economic Research

« Go back to publications list, or Click here to register for a complimentary trial
Consistently Right

Access Key Enabled Navigation

Keywords for: U.K. | 26 January 2017 GDP Growth Remained Brisk in Q4, but Headwinds are Building

gdp, gdp growth, economic sentiment index, brexit, real household spending, cpi inflation, inflation rate, weekly wages, cpi, unsecured debt, brexit vote, pantheon macroeconomics, pantheon, macroeconomic, macroeconomics, independent advice, independent analysis, independent macroeconomic researcj, independent, analysis, research, economic intelligence, economy, economic, economics, economists, Dr. Ian Shepherdson, Ian Shepherdson, financial market, financial, market, finance, macro, macro research, independent macro research