Pantheon Macroeconomics - The consensus view on the Monetary Policy Committee, that it will take two years for CPI inflation to return to the 2% target, looks complacent. Leading indicators suggest that price pressures will return faster than both policymakers and markets expect. Interest rates are therefore likely to rise in the first half of 2016, even if the recovery loses momentum.

Independent Incisive Illuminating

Skip to Main Content

20 Oct. 2015 Inflation Rebound to Force MPC's Hand, Even if Recovery Slows

By Samuel Tombs

The consensus view on the Monetary Policy Committee, that it will take two years for CPI inflation to return to the 2% target, looks complacent. Leading indicators suggest that price pressures will return faster than both policymakers and markets expect. Interest rates are therefore likely to rise in the first half of 2016, even if the recovery loses momentum.

Posted: 20th Oct 2015 in 'UK Documents'

This document is only available to subscribers of our:
UK Economic Research.

Request a complimentary trial(click here) OR Login Here(if you are a subscriber)

Are you taking full advantage of our daily publications?

Pantheon Macroeconomics produce daily publications for U.S., Eurozone, Latin America, UK and Asia, as well as analysis on key data within a few minutes of their release. To activate a complimentary trial on any of these areas, please click here.

U.S. Economic ResearchEurozone Economic ResearchLatin America Economic ResearchUK Economic ResearchAsia Economic Research

« Go back to publications list, or Click here to register for a complimentary trial

Access Key Enabled Navigation

Keywords for: UK Documents | 20 Oct. 2015 Inflation Rebound to Force MPC's Hand, Even if Recovery Slows

uk, inflation, oil, food, imports, cpi, mpc, rebound, price, building services, markets, pantheon macroeconomics, pantheon, macroeconomic, macroeconomics, independent advice, independent analysis, advisors, advisers, advisor, advice, independent, analysis, research, economic intelligence, economy, economic, economics, economists, Dr. Ian Shepherdson, Ian Shepherdson, financial market, financial, market, finance