Pantheon Macroeconomics - U.K. Document Vault

U.K. Documents
U.K. Document Vault

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U.K. Publications

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  • Type: Economic Monitor
20 February 2019 Robust Labour Market Implies MPC Won't Dally After Brexit Risks Fade

Signs of a slowdown in the labour market data are conspicuously absent.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

19 February 2019 A 2019 General Election No Longer is So Implausible

The decision by seven MPs to abandon Labour and set up a new centrist grouping--the Independent Group--will not have a significant impact on the outcome of parliamentary Brexit votes.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

18 February 2019 Steady Growth in Consumers' Spending will Keep GDP Edging Up

We became more confident last week in our call that GDP growth will hold up better than widely feared in the first half of 2019, following signs that consumers have maintained their happy-go-lucky mentality, despite the ongoing political crisis.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

15 February 2019 January Retail Sales Will Stop the Flow of Downbeat News

We expect the run of downbeat news on the U.K. economy to be punctuated today by January's retail sales figures.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

14 February 2019 The Decline in CPI Inflation has Run its Course

January's CPI data contained no major surprises, even though the 1.8% headline rate undershot our forecast and the consensus by one tenth.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

13 February 2019 A Weaker Pound Wouldn't be a Silver Lining in a No-deal Dystopia

Brexiteers have downplayed the economic consequences of a no-deal exit by arguing that a further depreciation of sterling would cushion the blow.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

12 February 2019 GDP Likely Will Still Rise Marginally in Q1, Despite December's Dip

On the face of it, the latest GDP data look awful. December's 0.4% month-to-month fall in GDP closed a poor Q4, in which quar ter-on-quarter growth slowed to 0.2%, from 0.6% in Q3.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

11 February 2019 CPI Inflation Likely Fell Slightly Below The 2% Target in January

Analysts' forecasts for January's consumer prices report, released on Wednesday, are unusually dispersed.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Weekly  Download

8 February 2019 The MPC has Gone only Half-Way to Endorsing Markets' Lower Rate Path

In the midst of heightened and potentially longerlasting Brexit uncertainty, the MPC revised down its forecast for GDP growth sharply yesterday and came close to endorsing investors' view that the chances of a 25bp rate hike before the end of this year have slipped to 50:50.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

7 February 2019 Industrial and Retail Sectors to Drive December GDP Dip

December's GDP report, released next Monday, likely will maintain the flow of negative news on the U.K. economy.... More by Samuel Tombs

Region: U.K.   Publication:  Monitor Daily  Download

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