U.K. Document Vault
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Below is a full list of our U.K. Publications.
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Signs of a slowdown in the labour market data are conspicuously absent.... More by Samuel Tombs
The decision by seven MPs to abandon Labour and set up a new centrist grouping--the Independent Group--will not have a significant impact on the outcome of parliamentary Brexit votes.... More by Samuel Tombs
We became more confident last week in our call that GDP growth will hold up better than widely feared in the first half of 2019, following signs that consumers have maintained their happy-go-lucky mentality, despite the ongoing political crisis.... More by Samuel Tombs
We expect the run of downbeat news on the U.K. economy to be punctuated today by January's retail sales figures.... More by Samuel Tombs
January's CPI data contained no major surprises, even though the 1.8% headline rate undershot our forecast and the consensus by one tenth.... More by Samuel Tombs
Brexiteers have downplayed the economic consequences of a no-deal exit by arguing that a further depreciation of sterling would cushion the blow.... More by Samuel Tombs
On the face of it, the latest GDP data look awful. December's 0.4% month-to-month fall in GDP closed a poor Q4, in which quar ter-on-quarter growth slowed to 0.2%, from 0.6% in Q3.... More by Samuel Tombs
Analysts' forecasts for January's consumer prices report, released on Wednesday, are unusually dispersed.... More by Samuel Tombs
In the midst of heightened and potentially longerlasting Brexit uncertainty, the MPC revised down its forecast for GDP growth sharply yesterday and came close to endorsing investors' view that the chances of a 25bp rate hike before the end of this year have slipped to 50:50.... More by Samuel Tombs
December's GDP report, released next Monday, likely will maintain the flow of negative news on the U.K. economy.... More by Samuel Tombs
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