Pantheon Macroeconomics - Eurozone GDP data on Friday were better than we expected, but were still soft compared to upbeat market expectations.   Real GDP rose 0.3% quarter-onquarter in the third quarter, down slightly from 0.4% in Q2, and lower than the consensus forecast for another 0.4% gain.  These data are not a blank check for ECB doves, but they probably are enough to push through further easing in December.  This looks odd given growth in the last four quarters of an annualised 1.6%--the strongest since 2011--and probably slightly above the long-run growth rate.

Eurozone | 16 Nov. 2015 Slightly Disappointing Q3 GDP Data Likely Enough for ECB Doves
Eurozone GDP data on Friday were better than we expected, but were still soft compared to upbeat market expectations. Real GDP rose 0.3% quarter-onquarter in the third quarter, down slightly from 0.4% in Q2, and lower than the consensus forecast for another 0.4% gain. These data are not a blank check for ECB doves, but they probably are enough to push through further easing in December. This looks odd given growth in the last four quarters of an annualised 1.6%--the strongest since 2011--and probably slightly above the long-run growth rate.

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16 Nov. 2015 Slightly Disappointing Q3 GDP Data Likely Enough for ECB Doves

By Claus Vistesen

Eurozone GDP data on Friday were better than we expected, but were still soft compared to upbeat market expectations. Real GDP rose 0.3% quarter-onquarter in the third quarter, down slightly from 0.4% in Q2, and lower than the consensus forecast for another 0.4% gain. These data are not a blank check for ECB doves, but they probably are enough to push through further easing in December. This looks odd given growth in the last four quarters of an annualised 1.6%--the strongest since 2011--and probably slightly above the long-run growth rate.

Posted: 15th Nov 2015 in 'Eurozone'

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