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Eurozone Publications

Below is a list of our Eurozone Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

EZ Datanote: Industrial Production, France, February 2024

In one line: Held back by a plunge in energy output; core production did better.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

8 April 2024 Eurozone Monitor Hard data support our view of a 0.2% increase in EZ GDP in Q1

  • Industrial production in the Eurozone likely jumped in February but fell over Q1 as a whole.
  • Retail sales data point to a subdued EZ consumer in Q1, but the services numbers will look better.
  • Our Nowcast model points to EZ GDP stagnating in Q1, but it is too downbeat; a 0.2% rise is more likely.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

5 April 2024 Eurozone Monitor Swiss CPI implies more SNB cuts; EZ house prices fell in Q4

  • The fall in Swiss inflation in March solidifies our view that more SNB rate cuts are on the way this year.
  • EZ house prices fell in Q4 and were down by 1.1% in 2023 overall; we look for another 1% drop this year.
  • The PMI adds to the evidence that Spain’s economic outperformance continued in Q1; we concur.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

4 April 2024 Eurozone Monitor Core inflation in March softer than implied by the headline

  • EZ inflation surprised to the downside in March, but not enough for the ECB to pull the trigger next week.
  • Services inflation was sustained by the early Easter in March; it will come down sharply in April.
  • We expect EZ headline inflation to stabilise around 2% from August through to Q1 next year.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Advance Inflation, Germany, March

In one line:   EZ inflation on track to undershoot the consensus tomorrow. 

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

3 April 2024 Eurozone Monitor EZ inflation likely fell to just over 2% in March; what now, ECB?

  • The drop in German inflation cements the outlook for a below-consensus EZ inflation report today.
  • Why wouldn’t the ECB cut this month if inflation hit 2.2% in March? We can’t see why not either.
  • Weakness in France and Germany is still holding back momentum in EZ manufacturing.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

2 April 2024 Eurozone Monitor Early HICP data point to downside risks for EZ inflation in March

  • Early HICP numbers point to downside risks to EZ inflation, but beware Easter effects in Germany.
  • A soaring French budget deficit in 2023 raises the risk of a confidence-denting income tax hike in 2024.
  • The Eurozone money supply data are picking up, supporting a further rebound in the composite PMI.

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: Money Supply, EZ, Feb; ISTAT Confidence, Italy, Mar & Unemployment, Germany, Mar

In one line:  Improvement in money supply continues; Italian business confidence rises & German unemployment will climb further. 

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

EZ Datanote: ESI, EZ, March 2024

In one line: Consistent with a rise in EZ GDP this quarter.

Melanie Debono (Senior Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

March 2024 - EZ Economic Chartbook

ECB MONETARY EASING WILL BEGIN SOON...

  • ...APRIL IS LIVE, BUT JUNE IS MORE LIKELY

Claus Vistesen (Chief Eurozone Economist)Eurozone

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