Pantheon Macroeconomics - China faces three possible macro outcomes over the next few years. First, the economy could pull off an active transition to consumer-led growth. Second, it could gradually slide into Japan-style growth and inflation, with government debt spiralling up. Third, it could face a full blown debt crisis, where the authorities lose control and China drags the global economy down too

Independent Incisive Illuminating

Skip to Main Content

12 June 2017 China's Policy Choices are all Difficult, can Disaster be Averted?

By Freya Beamish

China faces three possible macro outcomes over the next few years. First, the economy could pull off an active transition to consumer-led growth. Second, it could gradually slide into Japan-style growth and inflation, with government debt spiralling up. Third, it could face a full blown debt crisis, where the authorities lose control and China drags the global economy down too

Posted: 12th Jun 2017 in 'Asia Documents'

This document is only available to subscribers of our Asia Research.

Request a complimentary trial or login here

Are you taking full advantage of our daily publications?

Pantheon Macroeconomics produce daily publications for U.S., Eurozone, Latin America, UK and Asia, as well as analysis on key data within a few minutes of their release. To activate a complimentary trial on any of these areas, please click here.

U.S. Economic ResearchEurozone Economic ResearchLatin America Economic ResearchUK Economic ResearchAsia Economic Research

« Go back to publications list, or Click here to register for a complimentary trial

Access Key Enabled Navigation

Keywords for: Asia Documents | 12 June 2017 China's Policy Choices are all Difficult, can Disaster be Averted?

asia, china, growth, inflation, government, debt, consumption, japan, japanese, korea, germany, deflation, household sector, producer prices, debt, banking, banking sector, capital market, capital markets, productivity, wages, wage growth, bank bailout, bailout, bank assets, pantheon macroeconomics, pantheon, macroeconomic, macroeconomics, independent advice, independent analysis, advisors, advisers, advisor, advice, independent, analysis, research, economic intelligence, economy, economic, economics, economists, Dr. Ian Shepherdson, Ian Shepherdson, financial market, financial, market, finance