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China+ Publications

Below is a list of our China+ Publications for the last 5 months. If you are looking for reports older than 5 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Kelvin Lam (Senior China+ Economist)

PM Datanote: Exports, Korea, January

In one line: Korea’s export jump exaggerated by LNY timing; semiconductors still underpin growth.

PM Datanote: Non-Manufacturing PMI, China

In one line: Property and construction weakness drags China’s non-manufacturing PMI below 50

PM Datanote: Manufacturing PMI, China

In one line: China’s manufacturing PMI slips, as a larger-than-usual post-December festive and pre-LNY demand pullback exposes weak fundamentals.

PM Datanote: Exports, Korea, February

In one line: Korea exports surge in full-month February on global AI investment boom

27 February 2026 China+ Monitor BoK's dot-plot signals no near-term rate changes as stability risk lingers

  • The Bank of Korea stood pat in February, and introduced longer-term forward guidance on rate direction.
  • Governor Rhee cited persistent financial stability risk and a stronger growth outlook as reasons to hold.
  • The newly introduced Fed-style dot-plot suggests no change in policy rate for at least six months.

February 2026 - China+ Chartbook

  • - CHINA'S POLICYMAKERS FOCUS ON LONGER-TERM GOALS
  • - PM TAKAICHI LIKELY MORE PRAGMATIC THAN FEARED
  • - BOK RELIEF AS KRW PRESSURE EASES, FOR NOW

19 February 2026 China+ Monitor Five China themes in 2026: momentum but no boom in the Year of the Horse

  • China’s growth will slow as it matures, with speed giving way to stability and structural adjustment.
  • Property remains a drag, with sustained producer and consumer reflation unlikely until the market troughs.
  • The PBoC is promoting a stronger RMB, while the temporary US trade truce masks a power rivalry.

12 February 2026 China+ Monitor Long and bumpy reflation path for China's households and producers

  • China’s consumer inflation fell sharply due to holiday effects, but monthly momentum has strengthened.
  • Producer deflation eased unevenly, driven mostly by non-ferrous metals and ‘experience’-related industries.
  • The reflation process still has a long way to go and is likely to be choppy, especially for the PPI.

6 February 2026 China+ Monitor China seizes its moment to unveil financial ambition blueprint

  • China has issued key commentary on its financial future, with RMB reserve-currency status in focus.
  • Its ambition goes beyond reserve currency, though, to becoming a major financial power too.
  • Structural constraints and other deficiencies limit RMB reserve status, despite its progress in global usage.

China+ Datanote: Industrial Profits, China, December

In one line: China industrial profits 2025: first positive turn in four years, but the path forward remains challenging

China+ Datanote: BoJ Decision, Japan, January

In one line: BoJ stands pats in January, but inflation momentum keeps tightening chances intact.

China+ Datanote: Flash PMIs, Japan, January

In one line: Japan’s PMIs jump in January, pointing to firmer labour demand, especially in manufacturing.

China+ Datanote: National CPI, Japan, December

In one line: Japan CPI slump driven by energy and fresh food; underlying inflation remains sticky

China+ Datanote: 20-Day Exports, Korea, January

In one line: Korea’s 20-day exports rebound buoyed by base effects; monthly momentum actually slowed in January.

30 January 2026 China+ Monitor How Beijing is using diplomacy to expose cracks in Western alliances

  • US allies’ visits to China signal geopolitical hedging, but don’t expect genuine economic integration. 
  • Beijing appears to be organising these visits to isolate Washington, judging by who initiated the invitations.
  • Middle powers are hedging against US unpredictability, but economic fragmentation will lead to higher inflation.

January 2026 - China+ Chartbook

  • - CHINA SEES LESS URGENCY TO STABILISE PROPERTY MARKET
  • - BOJ WON'T HURRY RATE HIKES, DESPITE SNAP ELECTION
  • - BOK LIKELY HOPES TO SQUEEZE IN ONE MORE RATE CUT

China+ Datanote: Loan Prime Rates, China, January

In one line: China’s LPR on hold in January; targeted structural rate cuts unclog credit supply and hopefully induce more loan demand.

China+ Datanote: BoK Decision, Korea, January

In one line: Bank of Korea drops its easing bias as currency stability takes priority

China+ Datanote: Exports, China, December

In one line: Diversification keeps China exports float in 2025; December export upticks largely support by ASEAN & BRICS demand

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independent macro research, China+ Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence,