Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Duncan Wrigley

China+ Datanote: Flash PMI, Japan, November

Japanese manufacturing activity is hit by fading demand and production

Services activity is holding up, despite sagging new export orders

Duncan WrigleyChina+

27 November 2023 China+ Monitor Japan's Core Inflation Basically Steady, Despite Headline Uptick

  • Japan’s core inflation barely moved in October, despite a rise in headline inflation...
  • ...Driven by the partial roll-back of energy subsidies, soaring hotel costs and fresh food inflation.
  • The fall in the November flash manufacturing PMI confirms Japan’s sluggish recovery.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

21 November 2023 China+ Monitor China Holds Lending Rates Steady, Relying Instead on Fiscal Support

  • China’s benchmark lending rates were unchanged in November, in line with the MLF rate last week.
  • Policymakers are seemingly using fiscal stimulus to stabilise growth, thus allowing confidence to rebuild.
  • Monetary policy will probably continue to play an accommodative role—behind fiscal policy—in 2024.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

20 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Property Developers Continue to Flounder

  • China’s residential market flagged again in October, despite the new homebuyer incentives since August.
  • Developer funding shows little sign of turning around, as worries over debt issues are prevailing.
  • The reported affordable-housing programme likely will fall short of the shantytown redevelopment boost.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: PBoC Policy Decision, China, November

  • China's lending rates on hold as fiscal policy takes the leading role

Duncan WrigleyChina+

CHINA+ DATA WRAP 20 NOVEMBER 2023: Lending rates on hold

  • China's lending rates on hold as fiscal policy takes the leading role

Duncan WrigleyChina+

16 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Recovery Making Painfully Slow Progress

  • China’s domestic demand rose at a sluggish pace in October, while production grew faster.
  • Upticks in retail sales of autos and mobile phones are bright spots.
  • The PBoC injected RMB600B of MLF funds yesterday, enabling government-bond issuance.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

14 November 2023 China+ Monitor Government-Bond Issuance Holds Up China's Credit Demand

  • China’s credit expansion was lukewarm in October, apart from government-bond issuance.
  • The slump in net household long-term loans exaggerates the weakness in the residential market.
  • China is likely to rely on fiscal stimulus to stabilise growth, giving sentiment time to rebuild.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

China+ Datanote: Money & Credit, China, October

  • Stepped-up government bond issue stabilises credit growth against property sector downdraft

Duncan WrigleyChina+

8 November 2023 China+ Monitor China's Evolving Developer Support Policy Offers a Glimmer of Hope

  • Shenzhen’s backing for Vanke offers a possible blueprint for resolving Chinese developers’ issues...
  • ...But only a few private developers are truly similar to Vanke, leaving many firms in a grey area.
  • Japan’s wage growth picked up in October, mainly due to a downward revision of September’s data.

Duncan WrigleyChina+

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence