Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Pantheon Publications

Below is a list of our Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep.

Please use the filters on the right to search for a specific date or topic.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)

8 December 2023 LatAm Monitor Disinflation to Continue in Mexico, Despite Recent Upward Surprises

  • Mexico’s disinflation is continuing, despite recent upside surprises due to temporary seasonal factors.
  • Core inflation is still falling, opening the door to rate cuts as the economy struggles.
  • The outlook is benign thanks to the MXN, but key threats remain, particularly on the policy front.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

7 December 2023 LatAm Monitor A mixed end to Q3, but 2024 looks a bit better

  • Brazilian Real — Fundamentals supportive
  • Mexican Peso —  All good here, at least in the near term
  • Argentinian Peso — Milei’s moment is here

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2023

  • In one line: Surprisingly resilient, but high interest rates are now a drag.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: GDP, Third Quarter, Brazil, 2023

  • In one line: Surprisingly resilient, but high interest rates are now a drag.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

6 December 2023 LatAm Monitor Brazil's GDP Growth Is Weakening, and the Near-Term Outlook Is Dim

  • Brazil’s economy dodged a contraction in Q3, despite the drag from rising real interest rates.
  • Solid private consumption, for now, and resilient exports are overshadowing the capex recession.
  • The outlook is deteriorating, as rates continue to stifle economic activity, but 2024 will be better.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

Global Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, November

  • In one line: A poor start to Q4, due chiefly to plunging mining activity.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Global

PM Datanote: Economic activity index, Chile, November

  • In one line: A poor start to Q4, due chiefly to plunging mining activity.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

4 December 2023 LatAm Monitor An Inflection Point, Though Anaemic, for the Chilean Economy

  • Chile’s sub-par economic recovery continued in October, with the non-mining sector a key driver.
  • The near-term outlook is benign, but indicators point to difficult times for capex further out.
  • Peru’s disinflation gathered speed in November, opening the door to bolder rate cuts this month.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

1 December 2023 LatAm Monitor Latam Labour Markets Relatively Dynamic, but Set to Deteriorate Soon

  • Brazil’s unemployment fell in October to recent cyclical lows, but the good news won’t continue.
  • Mexico’s job market remains resilient, buoying Banxico’s hawks, but the current strength can’t last.
  • In Chile and Colombia, the job market also looks solid, but this is a lagging indicator; it will slow soon.

Andrés Abadía (Chief LatAm Economist)Latin America

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independent macro research, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence