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16th Jun 2022 00:20U.S., Daily Monitor

A central bank promising to hike until inflation is clearly falling is effectively promising to overtighten…

…But the healthy state of the private sector’s finances mean that a recession should be averted.

The softness of May retail sales and downward revisions to April will hit Q2 GDP growth forecasts.

core pce core pce forecast core retail sales cpi debt service energy fed gas prices gdp growth headline inflation inflation expectations July June labor labor market March May pce pce forecast policy policymakers q2 q2 gdp recession retail sales savings September summer wage gains wages

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Keywords for: The Fed will Hike Until Inflation is Clearly Falling, and that's too Much

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