Pantheon Macroeconomics

Best viewed on a device with a bigger screen...

16th Jun 2022 00:20U.S., Daily Monitor

A central bank promising to hike until inflation is clearly falling is effectively promising to overtighten…

…But the healthy state of the private sector’s finances mean that a recession should be averted.

The softness of May retail sales and downward revisions to April will hit Q2 GDP growth forecasts.

core pce core pce forecast core retail sales cpi debt service energy fed gas prices gdp growth headline inflation inflation expectations July June labor labor market March May pce pce forecast policy policymakers q2 q2 gdp recession retail sales savings September summer wage gains wages

This publication is only available to U.S. Economic Research (Monitor) subscribers

Related Publications

Are you taking full advantage of our daily publications?

Pantheon Macroeconomics produce daily publications for U.S., Eurozone, Latin America, UK and Asia, as well as analysis on key data within a few minutes of their release.

U.S. Economic Research
Eurozone Economic Research
Latin America Economic Research
UK Economic Research
Asia Economic Research
 

Sign up for your complimentary trial

To start your complimentary trial, highlight the areas you are interested in subcribing to and click next.

United States

Eurozone

United Kingdom

China +

Emerging Asia

Latin America

Next

 
Consistently Right
Access Key Enabled Navigation
Keywords for: The Fed will Hike Until Inflation is Clearly Falling, and that's too Much

core pce, core pce forecast, core retail sales, cpi, debt service, energy, fed, gas prices, gdp growth, headline inflation, inflation expectations, July, June, labor, labor market, March, May, pce, pce forecast, policy, policymakers, q2, q2 gdp, recession, retail sales, savings, September, summer, wage gains, wages, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence