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13th Oct 2022 15:12U.S., Daily Monitor

  • Core inflation pressure is all in services; the pipeline is slowing sharply but the CPI is not, yet.
  • With only two CPI reports before the December FOMC, the risk of two further 75bp hikes is rising.
  • Such aggressive tightening would be a mistake, but the Fed has boxed itself into a corner.

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Keywords for: 14 Oct 2022 US Monitor

Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence