Pantheon Macroeconomics

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13th Jun 2022 00:00U.K., Daily Monitor, Weekly Monitor

The MPC was clear last month; no more than two 25bp rate hikes would be needed to tame inflation.

Since then, activity indicators have weakened and medium-term inflation expectations have stayed low.

A majority will vote again to hike by 25bp, and investors will be left revising the odds of 50bp in August.

brent crude composite pmi cpi cpi inflation ECB fed fiscal policy headline rate inflation expectations interest rates July June March May monetary policy mpc oil oil price ois pmi policy public sector q1 q3 rate hike recession retail sales u.s. wages

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Keywords for: The MPC will Hike by 25bp, but Won't Signal a 50bp Jump in August

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