Pantheon Macroeconomics

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UK Publications

Below is a list of our UK Publications for the last 6 months. If you are looking for reports older than 6 months please email info@pantheonmacro.com, or contact your account rep

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17 October 2023 UK Monitor Will Inventory Rundowns by Businesses Trigger Recession?

  • Stock levels are higher than in the late 2010s, despite supply chain improvement and the jump in Bank Rate.
  • Surveys, however, indicate businesses think stocks levels are broadly adequate given current demand.
  • Running-down stocks of imported goods by definition will leave GDP unscathed; a recession isn’t likely.

Samuel TombsUK

16 October 2023 UK Monitor CPI Inflation Likely Held Steady in September, Below the MPC's Forecast

  • The headline rate of CPI inflation likely remained at 6.7% in September, undershooting the MPC’s forecast by 0.2pp.
  • BRC and Eurozone data suggest food and core goods CPI inflation fell further, but services inflation likely rose...
  • ...Fees for private schools and nurseries probably increased more in September than a year ago.

Samuel TombsUK

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Keywords for: U.K. Documents

U.K. Document Vault, Pantheon Macro, Pantheon Macroeconomics, independent macro research, independent research, ian shepherdson, economic intelligence