Pantheon Macroeconomics

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Latin America Publications

Below is a full list of our Latin America Publications.

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covid

22 Jan 2021 COPOM Confirms it will Start to Hike Rates, but not Immediately

Brazil's COPOM surprised no one by voting unanimously this week to keep the Selic Rate at 2.00%, an historic low, and removing the previous forward guidance.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Jan 2021 19:10Latin America

10 Nov 2020 Sticky Inflation in Mexico, but Banxico will be Able to Cut Rates this Week

Headline inflation in Mexico remained sticky in October, and even breached the ceiling of Banxico's target range.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)9th Nov 2020 14:30Latin America

2 Nov 2020 The Covid Crisis in LatAm is Easing, but the Risk of a Second Wave is Real

While we were out, new Covid-19 cases continued to increase in Brazil and Colombia. The latest uptick in Mexico's cases seems to be peaking, though the data are not reliable,...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)1st Nov 2020 19:20Latin America

21 Oct 2020 Colombia's Recovery will Gather Steam, but Downside Risks Remain

Data released on Monday confirmed that the Colombian economy slowed in August, following a solid rebound since mid Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)20th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

13 Oct 2020 Mexico's Industrial Recovery Continues, but Momentum is Slowing

Yesterday's Mexican industrial production report was downbeat for manufacturing, but revealed that the oil and public construction sectors are starting to show some signs of...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)12th Oct 2020 20:20Latin America

7 Oct 2020 Capex Stabilizing in Mexico, Modest Inflation Pressures in the Andes

Data released yesterday confirmed that investment in Mexico has been on the mend since June, but activity still remains depressed.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Oct 2020 20:10Latin America

22 Sept 2020 Encouraging Signs that LatAm is Recovering from the Covid Shock

Our forecast for LatAm envisions a gradual pickup in growth, following a terrible first half.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)21st Sep 2020 20:20Latin America

28 Aug 2020 Sluggish Initial Virus Response Trashed the Mexican Economy in H2

Mexican GDP plunged 17.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q2, according to the final report, close to the first estimate.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Aug 2020 18:30Latin America

25 Aug 2020 Covid Cases are Easing in Mexico Supporting a Soft Economic Upturn

New Covid-19 cases in Mexico have continued to fall steadily over this month, with deaths peaking two weeks ago, as shown in our first chart.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)24th Aug 2020 18:20Latin America

24 Aug 2020 Weak Growth and Low Inflation in LatAm, Central Banks on Hold

While we were on holiday, the data confirmed that economies have been badly hit by the pandemic in Q2, and that the upturn will be gradual.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)23rd Aug 2020 18:30Latin America

7 Aug 2020 Brazil Likely will Keep Rates on Hold, as Long as the Economy Recovers

The Brazilian Central Bank's policy board-- COPOM--met expectations on Wednesday, voting unanimously to cut the Selic rate by 25bp to 2.00%.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)6th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

5 Aug 2020 Brazil's Industrial Sector is Showing Solid Signs of Gradual Stabilization

Data released this week in Brazil underscored that the Covid-related shock on the industrial sector is finally easing, as the economy gradually reopens.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)4th Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

4 Aug 2020 Chile's Economic Recovery Started Strongly in June, Despite the Virus

Data released in recent days confirmed the intensity of the Covid-related shock to the Chilean economy in Q2.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)3rd Aug 2020 20:10Latin America

31 July 2020 Covid-19 Brought Mexico's Economy to its Knees, and the Outlook is Grim

Yesterday's first estimate of Q2 GDP in Mexico confirmed that the economy has been under severe stress in recent months.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)30th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

29 July 2020 Brazil's Improving External Accounts Strengthens the Case for a Rate Cut

Brazil's external accounts remain relatively solid, making it easier for the country to withstand any potential external or domestic threat.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)28th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

28 July 2020 Mexico's Volatile Trade Balance, Consequences of Chile's Reform

Data released yesterday in Mexico highlighted the volatility in international trade resulting from the pandemic.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)27th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

27 July 2020 Low Inflation in Brazil will Allow the Copom to Cut Rates in August

Data released on Friday in Brazil and recent political events helped to open the door further to a final rate cut in August. The IPCA-15--which previews the full CPI--...

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)26th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

15 July 2020 Brazil's Macro Conditions Seem to be Stabilising, Rate Cuts During H2

Brazil's recession carried over into the middle of Q2, but with diminishing intensity in some economic sectors.

Andres Abadia (Senior International Economist)14th Jul 2020 20:10Latin America

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